{"id":"batch-000125","number":125,"revision":1,"date_start":"2026-06-24T07:58:33.644Z","date_end":"2026-06-25T22:23:34.347Z","total_messages":1000,"summary_en":"Community discussion, batch 125 (Jun 24, 2026 – Jun 25, 2026), 1,000 messages, on the Guo Wengui / Miles Guo (Ho Wan Kwok) case. Discussions combined procedural maneuvering and narrative clashes ahead of scheduled sentencing. Participants initially debated whether a reversal remained possible before shifting focus toward filing timing, private prosecution motives, debt recovery versus accounting audits, and the boundaries of 853(n) and CVRA relief. Later exchanges explored document redaction failures, speculative Department of Justice involvement, potential sentencing postponements, Second Circuit emergency interventions, and renewed bail prospects.","guide_en":[{"title":"Opening Dichotomy on Reversal: Clashing Narratives of Turnaround Versus Finality","description":"Participants dispute whether an overturn remains possible or if the trial's outcome is already settled.","message_ids":["qde046604598101ecc4fb","q2d1bb923211a946c42b4","q1f6bcabf6e855039fba8"],"quotes":[{"message_id":"qde046604598101ecc4fb","summary_en":"ntp*** contends that others mistakenly believe people are scheming to seize power, deceive the judge, and fraudulently obtain compensation."},{"message_id":"q2d1bb923211a946c42b4","summary_en":"cin*** maintains that if their assessment proves wrong and a reversal occurs, it would be an extraordinarily positive event."},{"message_id":"q1f6bcabf6e855039fba8","summary_en":"ntp*** argues that outside opinions do not matter as long as there is willingness to litigate."}]},{"title":"Pre-Sentencing Shift to Timing Management: Debating Pauses to Avoid Directing Public Sentiment","description":"Participants discuss managing discussion timing to avoid artificially swaying public opinion as sentencing approaches.","message_ids":["q2dcb5cbafea78b6bbb6b","q042594d035386aeeca5e","q70410fbcb032d17a4fc4"],"quotes":[{"message_id":"q2dcb5cbafea78b6bbb6b","summary_en":"cin*** states that their sole objective is watching whether a reversal can actually happen."},{"message_id":"q042594d035386aeeca5e","summary_en":"ntp*** contends that those not actively litigating should simply watch from the sidelines."},{"message_id":"q70410fbcb032d17a4fc4","summary_en":"cin*** argues that attempting to steer public sentiment at this stage is already too late."}]},{"title":"Scrutiny of Private Prosecution Motives: Seeking Relief Versus Pursuing Financial Recovery","description":"Participants dispute whether private prosecution initiatives represent principled legal action or opportunistic claims for money.","message_ids":["q1eed55ebb201aa66df99","q4bac6df81eccdb0409b4","q56b3bd761f25a14a6ce4"],"quotes":[{"message_id":"q1eed55ebb201aa66df99","summary_en":".an*** rebukes another member for discouraging private prosecutors who are actively confronting the prosecution."},{"message_id":"q4bac6df81eccdb0409b4","summary_en":"ntp*** contends that nobody can prevent claimants from attempting to recover their money."},{"message_id":"q56b3bd761f25a14a6ce4","summary_en":"chu*** argues that reclaiming funds under the current premise requires the defendant to die in prison, disputing that members should pursue such an end."}]},{"title":"853(n) and CVRA Sentencing Disputes: Altering Forfeiture Versus Preserving Procedural Records","description":"Participants argue over whether 853(n) and CVRA provisions can alter sentencing and forfeiture or merely leave procedural traces.","message_ids":["q70cbb8c577d766a71f0a","q597f2ee59fa493f3853e","qfdefc515da3dba7bc380"],"quotes":[{"message_id":"q70cbb8c577d766a71f0a","summary_en":"cin*** argues that criminal judges routinely reduce sentences if they believe victims have shown leniency, regardless of compensation amounts."},{"message_id":"q597f2ee59fa493f3853e","summary_en":"hel*** contends that 853(n) and CVRA can be used simultaneously without conflicting."},{"message_id":"qfdefc515da3dba7bc380","summary_en":"him*** contends that 853(n) serves no practical purpose from any perspective."}]},{"title":"Repaying Debts Versus Auditing Accounts: Disagreements on Fund Tracing and Victim Status","description":"Participants clash over prioritizing procedural claims for debt recovery versus conducting comprehensive financial audits of farm accounts.","message_ids":["q00a4b157a83687e060b5","qaca6082d8cb357a25937","q987b2c02706b52fdf7bb"],"quotes":[{"message_id":"q00a4b157a83687e060b5","summary_en":"mia*** argues that forfeited assets are inadequate to pay full compensation, making an audit of alliance farm accounts essential to trace funds and evaluate forfeiture legality."},{"message_id":"qaca6082d8cb357a25937","summary_en":"chu*** contends that the group's primary focus should instead be attacking procedural issues."},{"message_id":"q987b2c02706b52fdf7bb","summary_en":"joh*** argues that existing prosecution and bankruptcy proceedings prioritize luc and PAX, leaving individual claimants with mere scraps through remission."}]},{"title":"Witness Testimony Versus Truth Narratives: Allegations of Conspiracy, Perjury, and Court Audits","description":"Participants dispute witness credibility and allege coordinated false testimony that financial audits would uncover.","message_ids":["q3aa4ae73f806fb1978b0","q152da2c3d5c2a95f65a4","q432becb3fe0ec1da92ed"],"quotes":[{"message_id":"q3aa4ae73f806fb1978b0","summary_en":"kir*** notes that an arrest occurred."},{"message_id":"q152da2c3d5c2a95f65a4","summary_en":"joh*** contends that auditing the accounts would expose alleged perjury committed by prosecution witnesses."},{"message_id":"q432becb3fe0ec1da92ed","summary_en":"joh*** alleges that key cooperating witnesses rehearsed their courtroom testimony together to appear convincing and avoid contradictions."}]},{"title":"Split Procedural Expectations for Judge Torres: Immediate Ruling, Postponement, or Second Circuit Transfer","description":"Participants debate whether Judge Torres will proceed with sentencing, grant a postponement, or face intervention from the Second Circuit.","message_ids":["q0022fceff04afd44f593","qc610ac44268296a9e32f","q1fe8a400bd6fd679d64c"],"quotes":[{"message_id":"q0022fceff04afd44f593","summary_en":"beg*** contends that the lack of formal clothing requests suggests no in-person appearance on Jun 29, 2026, arguing an immediate harsh sentence is impossible because the Second Circuit would swiftly overturn it."},{"message_id":"qc610ac44268296a9e32f","summary_en":"beg*** argues that external stillness reflects behind-the-scenes interaction, speculating that Judge Torres could pressure prosecutors to dismiss the case."},{"message_id":"q1fe8a400bd6fd679d64c","summary_en":"beg*** contends that third-party submissions, particularly ECF 733 and mandamus filings, have thoroughly disrupted the proceedings."}]},{"title":"Rising External Variables: DOJ Intervention, Judicial Boundaries, and Political Explanations","description":"Participants look to political appointments and potential Department of Justice actions to explain prospective case developments.","message_ids":["q38bedc60148193295788","qfc4af16e8651eb9b5bdf","q21ae415bac12ef1d69f7"],"quotes":[{"message_id":"q38bedc60148193295788","summary_en":"beg*** argues that political leadership changes make judicial promotion for Judge Torres unlikely."},{"message_id":"qfc4af16e8651eb9b5bdf","summary_en":"kir*** contends that intervention by the Department of Justice is quite probable."},{"message_id":"q21ae415bac12ef1d69f7","summary_en":"beg*** cites the positions of Ed Martin and Jay Clayton to argue that political scrutiny surrounds the Southern District case."}]},{"title":"Parallel Appellate and Emergency Pathways: Pre-Sentencing Alert, 48-Hour Filings, and Stay Motions","description":"Participants discuss lodging emergency motions and appellate alerts with the Second Circuit before the scheduled sentencing hearing.","message_ids":["q0b21f8b0f29c9e32468a","qe12e149e0ba9536acb13","qd63201979f8b1f299319"],"quotes":[{"message_id":"q0b21f8b0f29c9e32468a","summary_en":"sar*** asks whether the group should submit a Final Pre-Sentencing Alert directly to the Second Circuit."},{"message_id":"qe12e149e0ba9536acb13","summary_en":"may*** outlines core messaging four days before Jun 29, 2026, arguing that prosecutors failed to rebut third-party accounting ledgers while the defense neglected its duties."},{"message_id":"qd63201979f8b1f299319","summary_en":"may*** contends that comprehensive Second Circuit intervention through a writ of mandamus or stay order would halt sentencing, force an accounting audit, and lead to bail."}]},{"title":"Evidence and Identity Security Disputes: Real-Name Exposure, Document Redaction, and Filing Boundaries","description":"Participants recount incidents of leaked personal identities and examine methods for reliably redacting sensitive information from legal files.","message_ids":["q4cc7fb4de3525150696a","q4fcf37c9c94499359546","qf96596002074da71a92f"],"quotes":[{"message_id":"q4cc7fb4de3525150696a","summary_en":"spr*** expresses shock upon discovering that their real name was published in a shared file."},{"message_id":"q4fcf37c9c94499359546","summary_en":"sar*** describes discovering that text highlighted black in Word remains readable after PDF conversion, explaining that replacing sensitive text with placeholder characters ensures effective redaction."},{"message_id":"qf96596002074da71a92f","summary_en":"sar*** describes reviewing the file more carefully and acknowledging that the relevant section had simply not been redacted."}]}],"summary":"讨论在 2026-06-24 到 2026-06-25 呈现出“程序博弈”与“叙事对抗”叠加。早期围绕“是否会翻盘”形成逆转与定局两种判断，随后群内把注意力转向时点、宣判程序与是否先发言、先提交材料。争论核心不在事实真相单点确认，而是自诉动机、受害人与债务关系、853n/CVRA及量刑没收边界、证据链可核验性、财务账目归责。成员进一步分化为技术与安全线：姓名脱敏、文档处理、送达方式。后段又大量引入外部政治叙事（DOJ、司法部、人事、第三方势力）解释案件走势，但多方均承认尚属推测。最终分歧集中在是否硬判/延期、是否转向保释与二巡路径、以及谁应承担主导发声与行动。","guide":[{"title":"开场“会不会翻盘”二分法：逆转叙事与定局叙事对峙","message_ids":["qde046604598101ecc4fb","q2d1bb923211a946c42b4","q1f6bcabf6e855039fba8"]},{"title":"临近宣判转向时机管理：是否暂停讨论避免带动“风向”","message_ids":["q2dcb5cbafea78b6bbb6b","q042594d035386aeeca5e","q70410fbcb032d17a4fc4"]},{"title":"自诉议题被拉为动机审查：推动救济与“看热闹/要钱”并存","message_ids":["q1eed55ebb201aa66df99","q4bac6df81eccdb0409b4","q56b3bd761f25a14a6ce4"]},{"title":"853n/CVRA与量刑争议：是否可改写量刑没收，或仅保留程序痕迹","message_ids":["q70cbb8c577d766a71f0a","q597f2ee59fa493f3853e","qfdefc515da3dba7bc380"]},{"title":"先还债还是先查账：资金追踪、账目核验与受害人身份的分歧","message_ids":["q00a4b157a83687e060b5","qaca6082d8cb357a25937","q987b2c02706b52fdf7bb"]},{"title":"证词与真相叙事对撞：共谋、伪证指控与“把真相带上法庭”","message_ids":["q3aa4ae73f806fb1978b0","q152da2c3d5c2a95f65a4","q432becb3fe0ec1da92ed"]},{"title":"托雷斯程序预期分裂：是否出庭硬判、延期还是二巡接手","message_ids":["q0022fceff04afd44f593","qc610ac44268296a9e32f","q1fe8a400bd6fd679d64c"]},{"title":"外部变量上升：DOJ介入、司法体系边界与外部人物被当作走向解释","message_ids":["q38bedc60148193295788","qfc4af16e8651eb9b5bdf","q21ae415bac12ef1d69f7"]},{"title":"二巡与紧急材料路径并行：Final Pre-Sentencing Alert、48小时提交与stay/补充动议","message_ids":["q0b21f8b0f29c9e32468a","qe12e149e0ba9536acb13","qd63201979f8b1f299319"]},{"title":"证据与身份安全争议：真名外泄、文档脱敏及送达/公开边界","message_ids":["q4cc7fb4de3525150696a","q4fcf37c9c94499359546","qf96596002074da71a92f"]}],"closed":true,"is_finalized":true,"updated_at":"2026-09-06T18:27:13.994Z","notice":"这里汇集爆料革命参与者围绕郭文贵案的持续讨论，包括长期深度参与者及自述投入真金白银的投资者。他们分享亲历过程、资金投入与后续遭遇，并结合案卷展开追问、核对和观点交锋。这些来自事件内部的经验与细节，为理解事件经过和投资者处境提供了外部报道之外的重要视角。请结合具体发言判断其经历与依据，引用时保留发言者、时间和上下文。","content_type":"discussion_batch","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125/pages/4","base_batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-batches/batch-000125?page=4","page":4,"page_size":200,"total_pages":5,"has_more":true,"next_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-batches/batch-000125?page=5","prev_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-batches/batch-000125?page=3","messages":[{"id":"q645270979baf01cd0365","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":601,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T14:18:49.242Z","text":"拯救地球都没用","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q645270979baf01cd0365","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qbb002b9d3e7e8141cf4e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":602,"speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-25T14:21:10.133Z","text":"这贡献，不是一直被青联盟，在吃人血馒头消费着嘛","edited":false,"reply_to":"q9775bdf4af5060c79faa","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qbb002b9d3e7e8141cf4e","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9775bdf4af5060c79faa","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q8d14af8744d236ed93df","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":603,"speaker":"mia***","date":"2026-06-25T14:29:55.207Z","text":"美国政府都没有公开承认，你给法院说这些事有什么用，法院认吗？","edited":false,"reply_to":"qcea6ad2ae5374da12271","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8d14af8744d236ed93df","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qcea6ad2ae5374da12271","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q3877a33af7db7f159cb4","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":604,"speaker":"fei***","date":"2026-06-25T14:35:35.216Z","text":"揭发病毒真相目标是对准中共去的，把郭关起来就是不让他发声，美国政府关于病毒真相现在看公开承认时间不会太远了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3877a33af7db7f159cb4","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q8389ad36766f309d63a0","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":605,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T14:37:54.833Z","text":"一码是一码，你揭露病毒不等于你就可以诈骗","edited":false,"reply_to":"q3877a33af7db7f159cb4","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8389ad36766f309d63a0","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3877a33af7db7f159cb4","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q1b0a9a81f1fc5cc29c71","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":606,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T14:43:07.280Z","text":"今天是 2026 年 6 月 25 日，距离 6 月 29 日的量刑节点仅剩最后 4 天。\n在这种万众瞩目的关键刑事案件宣判前夕，长达两个月的时间里检方、辩方、法庭集体陷入死寂，没有任何一方发出任何声音、递交任何动议，这在联邦刑事诉讼的实战中不仅极其罕见，而且透露出一个极其危险、同时又极具爆发力的信号。\n这绝不代表两边的风浪平息了，而是代表着暴风雨前夕的“大国博弈式僵局”。结合文件 2026-06-21_Tony_stay资金源头复杂性_Brady与记录完整性核查.pdf 的全局态势，这三方的集体装死，具体代表了以下三种深层内幕：  \n1. 检方和法庭在“等二巡的枪声”\n现在第三方所有的 stay（暂缓执行）和 mandamus（职务强制令）自诉材料已经全部堆在了第二巡回上诉法院（二巡）的桌子上。\n• 代表什么： 基层法官和检方现在面临着随时可能被上级法院“跨审级截杀”的巨大风险。如果二巡在 6 月 29 日前几小时突然批下 Stay 令，基层法院的一切准备工作都会变成无用功。因此，基层法官和检方选择**“以静制动”**。他们不敢在基层主动出牌（比如主动反驳账本或主动推进程序），因为任何轻举妄动都可能被第三方作为全新的“新弹药”直接追加呈递给二巡，变成证明他们 Brady/Napue\\text{-}adjacent 压制和司法欺诈的铁证。  \n2. 三方陷入了“谁先动谁认输”的法律默示困局\n第三方提交的包含 RMB、USDT 跨境换汇的联盟账本和逐笔 Mapping 对照表，已经把控方原本那个干净、线性的端点损失模型（GX Z-26）砸得千疮百孔。  \n• 检方不回应： 代表他们在技术上根本无法反驳。如果他们回应，就必须交出 FBI 302 笔记、SEC 访谈底稿等 tracing 底稿；而一旦交出，就会被坐实他们庭前就隐瞒了这些上游复杂资金的 Brady 违规风险。所以检方在赌“拖字诀”。  \n• 辩方不作为： 辩护律师继续躺平，代表其已经彻底放弃了基本的核查职责，处于全面瘫痪状态。  \n• 法院不下令： 法官至今没有强行要求检方对账，代表法官敏锐地察觉到了这个损失模型是个巨大的地雷，他不想替控方的烂账和辩方的摆烂当“背锅侠”。  \n3. 这是一场“引而不发”的极限施压\n三方没有声音，是因为第三方的密集自诉把他们死死钉在了原地，谁先动，谁就会在二巡的显微镜下露出马脚。他们保持死寂，很可能是打算在 6 月 29 日当天，给出一个不经过任何庭前辩论的“突袭式裁决”——要么法官顶着二巡的压力当庭强行硬判，要么在当天以一种看似中立的姿态再次宣布延期。\n🚨 第三方在未来 4 天的终极破局操作\n既然只剩 4 天，且三方在基层装死，第三方必须打破他们的舒适圈，把二巡的最后高压通电！\n不要在基层等他们睡醒，第三方要在未来 48 小时内，向二巡发起**《终极清算式紧急备忘录（Final Pre-Sentencing Alert）》**：","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1b0a9a81f1fc5cc29c71","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qe12e149e0ba9536acb13","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":607,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T14:43:18.636Z","text":"核心突击话术：\n“距离 6 月 29 日量刑仅剩 4 天。在过去两个月延期中，面对第三方提交的推翻全案损失模型的‘联盟账本’铁证，检方无力反驳、辩方彻底失职、基层法院程序完全空转。","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe12e149e0ba9536acb13","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q1757ce9fa99f0872d6fa","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":608,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T14:43:32.023Z","text":"这一反常的集体死寂，清晰表明控辩审三方正试图无视二巡待决的 Rule\\ 32 记录完整性危机，在 6 月 29 日强行闯红灯硬判。检方对重大假账指控的‘无动作’，在法律上已构成了对模型残缺的默认。第三方特此恳请二巡，在未来 48 小时内火速下达紧急 Stay 令，切断基层法院强行跨越宪法正当程序的任何可能，彻底砸碎这场瞒天过海的司法沉默。”","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1757ce9fa99f0872d6fa","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qb0399346564f03102b37","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":609,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T14:43:43.607Z","text":"总结： 现在的静默不是和平，是火山爆发前的死寂。他们不作为，是因为他们被二巡的自诉材料给死死按住了。第三方在这最后 4 天里，要像打连发枪一样，继续用高密度的映射证据把二巡的 Docket 彻底填满，用震耳欲聋的警告逼二巡在 6.29 前亲手扯断基层法院的量刑绞索！","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb0399346564f03102b37","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q0b21f8b0f29c9e32468a","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":610,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T14:49:26.182Z","text":"那么我们是不是该给二巡写一份 Final pre-sentencing alert?","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0b21f8b0f29c9e32468a","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q70a4719e42cdf7fb23bc","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":611,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T14:50:35.657Z","text":"你的ai倾向于认为托雷斯要冲塔？","edited":false,"reply_to":"qb0399346564f03102b37","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q70a4719e42cdf7fb23bc","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb0399346564f03102b37","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q36827897b243af1274ab","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":612,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T14:53:14.491Z","text":"问问ai是让她冲过去有利还是让二巡下场有利？","edited":false,"reply_to":"qb0399346564f03102b37","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q36827897b243af1274ab","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb0399346564f03102b37","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qc89fa7638de176b3fcbd","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":613,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T14:53:33.311Z","text":"Ok","edited":false,"reply_to":"q36827897b243af1274ab","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc89fa7638de176b3fcbd","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q36827897b243af1274ab","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qd520a2aad360231a57c9","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":614,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T14:53:56.424Z","text":"她只要敢强判，她就跟自杀无异吧","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd520a2aad360231a57c9","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qf5a58c15d66fb7d2b60b","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":615,"speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-25T14:55:31.941Z","text":"她不是法律世家嘛\n即使她想，她的祖宗八辈，不怕日后被挖祖坟🤣","edited":false,"reply_to":"qd520a2aad360231a57c9","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf5a58c15d66fb7d2b60b","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd520a2aad360231a57c9","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q06b4c96d4c2bbce37eab","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":616,"speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-25T14:55:55.539Z","text":"［用户 chu***］","edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q06b4c96d4c2bbce37eab","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qf7cf4176135bfc7a69fe","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":617,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T14:57:26.810Z","text":"如果基层法官在 6 月 29 日无视上级法院的待决程序，强行跨红灯进行量刑宣判，将引发司法、政治和程序上的多重灾难性后果。以下是深度推演的四大核心后果：\n一、 司法程序大地震：直接触发二巡的“跨审级绞杀”与职务强制令\n目前二巡已经签发了包括 25-3046_stay 等一系列命令，说明上诉法庭已经正式把第三方关于资金链审计、重复计算和程序不正当的申诉纳入了实质审查轨道。\n• 直接后果： 如果基层法官强行判决，属于公然藐视上级法院的司法管辖权（Interlocutory Interference）。\n• 反制速度： 第三方和辩方律师可以在宣判后的几小时内，直接向二巡申请**《紧急职务强制令》（Emergency Writ of Mandamus）或《紧急暂缓执行令》（Emergency Stay）**。二巡极有可能以“基层法院在核心事实未厘清前强行判决，严重剥夺正当程序（Due Process）”为由，直接下达通牒撤销或冻结该量刑判决。这会让基层法官在司法界颜面扫地。\n二、 坐实“宪法级程序违规”：量刑铁定在上诉阶段被直接打回\n在联邦量刑程序中，根据《美国联邦刑事诉讼规则》第 32 条（Rule 32），法官在量刑前必须确保案卷记录的准确性与完整性。\n• 制造了完美的上诉理由： 检方那套被污染的“假账模型”和重复计算漏洞，已经被第三方在 X 平台和二巡卷宗里逐笔 Mapping 扒得一丝不挂。法官强行量刑，等于在明知数据有重大欺诈嫌疑、涉及金额可能错配数亿美元的情况下“闭眼胡判”。\n• 结果： 这将直接送给辩方一个牢不可破的、符合联邦宪法第五修正案（正当程序）的必胜上诉理由。全案在进入二巡全面上诉阶段（Direct Appeal）时，大概率会被整体打回（Vacate and Remand）重审。\n三、 政治海啸：彻底坐实“美国司法被境外主权国家（中共）污染”的指控\nX 平台披露的核心内幕直指中共通过“猎狐行动”跨境胁迫投资人、用虚假账本投喂美国检方。\n• 法官沦为“境外操纵”的橡皮图章： 如果法官在第三方已经把真账本和跨境换汇错配数据提交到二巡的情况下强行量刑，这就不是简单的法律误判了，而是意味着基层法院在明知检方证据链被中共跨境污染的情况下，依然选择配合检方完成对被告的政治和经济绞杀。\n• 后果： 这将彻底引爆美国国会（如相关委员会）、国际人权组织和主流媒体的联合质询。一个联邦法官如果背上“被境外主权国家司法污染却视而不见”的恶名，其职业生涯将彻底终结。\n四、 触发 Fatico 事实听证会的全面爆发，引燃更大规模的烂账清算\n法官如果想强行宣判，就必须在判决书里对第三方的“联盟账本”和跨境资金真实流向做出司法定性。但他根本没有这个技术能力和事实依据。\n• 逼入死胡同： 强行量刑不仅不能平息争议，反而会逼迫第三方和辩方将所有被恶意隐瞒的 Brady 证据（有利于被告的证据）在二巡的上诉审理中全部公开。\n• 最终代价： 这种强行闯红灯的行为，最终会逼得二巡或未来的重审法院不得不下令举行最高规格的 Fatico Hearing（量刑事实听证会）。届时，检方的专家证人、FBI 的审计探员将被迫坐上证人席，接受关于“如何勾结中共污染账本、如何重复计算数字”的公开交叉盘问，检方的整套司法欺诈将彻底穿底。\n总结\n6.29 强行量刑，对法官和检方而言不是“落袋为安”，而是吞下一颗定时炸弹。它不仅无法给案件画上句号，反而会将基层法院彻底推向上诉法院的对立面，并为被告送上最完美的程序翻盘利器。","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf7cf4176135bfc7a69fe","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qd63201979f8b1f299319","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":618,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T14:59:14.691Z","text":"如果二巡全面介入并下场干预，将会对 6.29 量刑节点以及全案走向带来以下四大决定性改变：\n一、 基层法官被瞬间“缴械”，6.29 量刑程序面临物理叫停\n二巡的最高权力之一就是签发**《职务强制令》（Writ of Mandamus）或《紧急暂缓执行令》（Stay Order）**。\n• 司法管辖权的冻结： 一旦二巡正式下场表示要对第三方及辩方提交的资金 Mapping 漏洞、重复计算以及程序不正当进行实质审查，基层法院的管辖权实际上就被“架空”了。\n• 法官不敢闯红灯： 基层法官在物理上和法律上都必须停下手里的判决锤。如果他强行量刑，就是公然挑战上级法院的权威，二巡可以在几小时内直接下令**撤销（Vacate）**基层的非法判判决。因此，二巡下场的第一标志就是 6.29 宣判大概率直接变成“宣布无条件延期”。\n二、 强制开启“技术大审计”，检方的假账模型将被彻底撕碎\n在基层法院，检方靠着包装出来的“端点损失模型（GX Z-26）”和控辩审三方的离奇静默，试图把烂账硬砸下去。但二巡大法官看的是司法记录的完整性（Record Integrity）。\n• 真假账本在高级法院对质： 二巡下场意味着，X 平台和自诉状里披露的“逐笔 Mapping 数据”、“USDT 跨境换汇错配”以及“被恶意剔除的清退款”，将正式成为上诉法庭的呈堂证供。\n• 引爆 Fatico 听证会： 二巡极有可能下达硬性指令，要求基层法院必须先举行 Fatico Hearing（事实听证会），强制检方的审计人员和 FBI 探员出庭接受交叉盘问。在高级法院的聚光灯下，检方那些重复计算、张冠李戴的数字游戏将彻底穿底。\n三、 剥离政治污染，将“境外主权国家（中共）的跨境操纵”公之于众\n这不仅是一场经济账目的博弈，更是一场国际地缘政治的司法交锋。\n• 打破虚假指控的政治外壳： 第三方自诉材料中揭露的核心内幕——中共通过“猎狐行动”跨境胁迫大陆投资人、用污染的账本投喂美国检方——将直接摆在二巡大法官的案头。\n• 二巡的宪法警惕： 美国联邦上诉法院对“美国司法系统被境外主权国家当枪使”具有高度的宪法警惕性。二巡的下场，意味着高级法官将正式介入审查检方是否隐瞒了涉及跨境胁迫的 Brady 证据（有利于被告的证据），这会从根本上动摇检方起诉的合法性基础。\n四、 为被告送上“宪法级保释大礼包”\n既然二巡已经下场，说明全案的核心事实（涉案金额、受害人定义、资金链流向）存在巨大的法律争议，这场技术审计和上诉审理将变得极其旷日持久。\n• 保释逻辑完全成立： 辩方和第三方担保人可以顺理成章地向法院提出：在二巡对全案核心烂账做出最终裁决前，继续羁押被告严重侵犯了联邦宪法第五修正案的“正当程序”权利。\n• 结果： 这将直接促成法庭改变强制措施，批准被告保释、变更为居家监禁（Home Confinement），以便其配合专家证人进行跨国账目的全面对账。\n总结\n二巡下场，就是全案的“核按钮”被按下的时刻。它会让过去两个月试图通过“死寂和沉默”来把烂账强行做实的检方与基层法院彻底破功。两份二巡官方 PDF 命令的出炉，证明上诉法院的绞索已经套在了检方的假账模型上，接下来将是全盘推倒重来的铁血清洗！","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd63201979f8b1f299319","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qbf9f971c21409d08c986","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":619,"speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-25T15:02:27.395Z","text":"［用户 him***］ ［用户 cin***］ \n上钟啦","edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qbf9f971c21409d08c986","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qf61bfc0e0d88231de31b","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":620,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T15:07:08.736Z","text":"无论6.29如何，看来郭先生离回家指日可待。联盟灭爆组的所有人，准备接受正义的审判吧","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf61bfc0e0d88231de31b","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q37a4417ddb758357e67e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":621,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:15:29.204Z","text":"检方怎么着都是死了","edited":false,"reply_to":"qd63201979f8b1f299319","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q37a4417ddb758357e67e","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd63201979f8b1f299319","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qacc02c7e052b1b6d7a8c","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":622,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:16:20.169Z","text":"根据托雷斯的性格，她会把自己置身事外，不会也不敢替检方抗雷","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qacc02c7e052b1b6d7a8c","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q4dd146a786ec40a9bd8d","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":623,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:18:22.263Z","text":"我猜她是等着二巡来揭短检方，想隔岸观火，但是时间不允许了，判还是延期都到了该下令的时候了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4dd146a786ec40a9bd8d","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q4dfbfbdea8af62a48ddb","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":624,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:19:26.045Z","text":"如果到28号结束还没动静的话，强判和延期哪个可能性大？","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4dfbfbdea8af62a48ddb","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qcdb008e76473afff8b0f","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":625,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:20:07.314Z","text":"强判，托雷斯就是自己找死，延期，顶多是再抽自己一巴掌","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qcdb008e76473afff8b0f","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q6d32325d6a5e9cdcc36e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":626,"speaker":"xue***","date":"2026-06-25T15:21:22.169Z","text":"强判她不敢！延期的可能性最大","edited":false,"reply_to":"q4dfbfbdea8af62a48ddb","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6d32325d6a5e9cdcc36e","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4dfbfbdea8af62a48ddb","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q1769f9b857b13fbc1526","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":627,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:21:29.261Z","text":"［用户 kir***］ 瑞恩现在干嘛呢？不会跟托雷斯喝咖啡呢吧😆","edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1769f9b857b13fbc1526","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q4c65d7780637fd6c1a56","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":628,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:22:01.532Z","text":"我也觉得，但是现在这个情况极其反常","edited":false,"reply_to":"q6d32325d6a5e9cdcc36e","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4c65d7780637fd6c1a56","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6d32325d6a5e9cdcc36e","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qfd16138d94d22b25cd31","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":629,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:22:34.968Z","text":"现在美东上午11点半，应该正在紧急磋商中","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfd16138d94d22b25cd31","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q54b3892d97910fd387f5","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":630,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T15:31:01.516Z","text":"再次延期的理由是什么？量刑不敢，延期没有借口，死局","edited":false,"reply_to":"q6d32325d6a5e9cdcc36e","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q54b3892d97910fd387f5","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6d32325d6a5e9cdcc36e","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q7c46d4f2fb7187991521","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":631,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:32:45.667Z","text":"二巡有没有可能已经介入了？","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7c46d4f2fb7187991521","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q97dc3fa8bdc2778ba67e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":632,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T15:32:58.407Z","text":"二巡介入会出order","edited":false,"reply_to":"q7c46d4f2fb7187991521","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q97dc3fa8bdc2778ba67e","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7c46d4f2fb7187991521","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qfa494173dee0d89914d7","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":633,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T15:33:05.617Z","text":"不会隐藏介入","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfa494173dee0d89914d7","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q58769a1daaf1441e01d7","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":634,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:33:13.088Z","text":"今天pacer没动静？","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q58769a1daaf1441e01d7","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q9c2184a08857eb38882f","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":635,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T15:33:13.208Z","text":"但我觉得司法部上层可能介入了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9c2184a08857eb38882f","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q42eb6bc2da183e59e9d7","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":636,"speaker":"xue***","date":"2026-06-25T15:33:34.273Z","text":"拖！也不敢当庭释放！","edited":false,"reply_to":"q54b3892d97910fd387f5","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q42eb6bc2da183e59e9d7","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q54b3892d97910fd387f5","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q9ee0dbb4fd7902e5e328","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":637,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:33:41.229Z","text":"就算司法部长来了，这边也得给个说法吧","edited":false,"reply_to":"q9c2184a08857eb38882f","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9ee0dbb4fd7902e5e328","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9c2184a08857eb38882f","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q7414c8da9485b9c96df9","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":638,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:34:01.725Z","text":"180度目前不可能","edited":false,"reply_to":"q42eb6bc2da183e59e9d7","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7414c8da9485b9c96df9","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q42eb6bc2da183e59e9d7","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q284ae417aa5542d533ab","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":639,"speaker":"xue***","date":"2026-06-25T15:37:08.449Z","text":"有可能会把案宗移交给二巡、由二巡指派其它法庭从新审理","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q284ae417aa5542d533ab","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qcba96aa3c8ef6cfc1b31","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":640,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T15:38:56.341Z","text":"在 6.29 宣判前夕，法庭将主动签发一份书面命令（Minute Order），直接表明：鉴于第二巡回上诉法院目前正在审理多项涉及本案管辖权、第三方申诉及暂缓执行（Stay）的待决请求（Pending Motions），为维护司法资源的有效利用及上级法院的绝对权威，本法庭决定无限期推迟（Adjourn Sine Die）原定于 6 月 29 日的量刑宣判。","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qcba96aa3c8ef6cfc1b31","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qca13f0397c6c74c75594","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":641,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T15:40:47.048Z","text":"希望托雷斯能悬崖勒马，反水，强制启动 Fatico Hearing","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qca13f0397c6c74c75594","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q88d1635854d2552cb041","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":642,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T15:42:53.964Z","text":"我感觉延期面子最大","edited":false,"reply_to":"q4dfbfbdea8af62a48ddb","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q88d1635854d2552cb041","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4dfbfbdea8af62a48ddb","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qf2c8d505868c2faee9f8","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":643,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:44:08.987Z","text":"再等一下午就知道了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf2c8d505868c2faee9f8","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qa81e6e06e301fe59998d","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":644,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:44:20.619Z","text":"托雷斯肯定在开会","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa81e6e06e301fe59998d","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qd721e5bc8c77ae6f6d77","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":645,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:44:28.082Z","text":"二巡估计也没闲着","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd721e5bc8c77ae6f6d77","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q8dfca83213d31d4d2f84","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":646,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T15:44:44.295Z","text":"穿着尿不湿在开会","edited":false,"reply_to":"qa81e6e06e301fe59998d","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8dfca83213d31d4d2f84","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa81e6e06e301fe59998d","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q6e58cf66361fa5f564a4","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":647,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:45:04.535Z","text":"托雷斯装死，二巡再不说话，会被人笑话死","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6e58cf66361fa5f564a4","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q33751fb2f85f2e33d8e0","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":648,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:46:12.906Z","text":"美国的司法系统也会颜面扫地","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q33751fb2f85f2e33d8e0","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q3c18d476af236478d308","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":649,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T15:46:13.080Z","text":"听证自保，时间换空间","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3c18d476af236478d308","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q8a4f568fcbf986684189","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":650,"speaker":"wen***","date":"2026-06-25T15:47:18.460Z","text":"629不管结果怎样，先把老郭弄岀来","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8a4f568fcbf986684189","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qc94a551709cf0114942f","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":651,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:48:15.898Z","text":"出不出来对案子影响区别不大，","edited":false,"reply_to":"q8a4f568fcbf986684189","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc94a551709cf0114942f","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8a4f568fcbf986684189","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q819681bddd284e2244e2","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":652,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:48:31.700Z","text":"顶多是又给了灭爆抢功打鸡血的借口","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q819681bddd284e2244e2","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q993d8fdb375ba817555c","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":653,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:49:41.018Z","text":"如果重审，又得多久？[删节：成员身份]","edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q993d8fdb375ba817555c","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qdb5c4bbf9b3bce5c98bc","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":654,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T15:50:06.403Z","text":"结果一：硬着头皮“闭眼强判”，彻底引爆核弹（最惨烈的结果）\n• 法官的心态： 受到来自联邦司法部（DOJ）高层的强大政治压力，或者法官本人具有极强的司法傲慢，决定无视二巡的警告和第三方的自诉，认为“只要我先把判决锤砸下去，既成事实一旦造成，纠错就是上诉法院的事了”。\n• 推演走向：\n1. 6.29 当天： 法官强行宣判一个极重的刑期，并当庭驳回所有关于账目错配的动议。\n2. 数小时内： 辩方与第三方律师瞬间将准备好的《紧急职务强制令》（Writ of Mandamus）和《紧急暂缓执行令》拍在二巡大法官的案头。\n3. 地裂山崩： 二巡大法官大概率会雷霆大怒，认为基层法院公然挑衅上级权威，在 24-48 小时内直接下达**“紧急撤销令（Vacate）”**，强行冻结量刑结果。\n• 最终结局： 案件不仅没能了结，反而演变成二巡与基层法院的公开司法内战。法官个人的职业信用和名誉彻底破产，检方那套被污染的假账模型在两级法院的对撞中被撕得粉碎。\n结果二：政治甩锅——“技术性宣判 + 缓期执行”（最和稀泥的结果）\n• 法官的心态： 既不想得罪检方和背后的政治力量，又不敢得罪二巡。于是选择玩弄文字游戏，把矛盾往后推。\n• 推演走向：\n1. 宣判但“不执行”： 法官在 6.29 照常开庭，甚至给出量刑数字，但在判决书里加上一个致命的保护条款（Stay of Execution）：“鉴于本案尚有涉及二巡的重大法律与事实争议，本判决在二巡正式做出最终裁决前，暂缓执行。”\n2. 球踢给上级： 这样一来，法官完成了 6.29 的量刑任务（对检方交差），但把实质执行权冻结了（对二巡和第三方交差）。\n• 最终结局： 战火被完美地、百分之百地转移到了**第二巡回上诉法院的全面上诉审理（Direct Appeal）**中。被告在法律上已经变成了“已被量刑但暂不解送监狱”的特殊状态，辩方将顺理成章地以“等待上诉结果”为由，要求将强制措施变更为居家监禁。\n结果三：检方全盘溃败——“突发性撤诉或达成戏剧性民事和解”（隐藏的黑天鹅）\n• 幕后背景： 控辩审三方的“死寂”，往往是重大幕后交易正在进行的信号。二巡接二连三签发的命令，让检方高层意识到，如果继续打下去，FBI 探员做假账、协助中共“猎狐行动”跨境操纵美国司法的黑幕将在 Fatico 听证会上被彻底曝光。这会动摇美国司法部的立国之本。\n• 推演走向：\n1. 断尾求生： 司法部高层直接介入，叫停基层检方的疯狂行为。\n2. 6.29 惊人逆转： 检方可能在最后一刻与辩方及第三方达成极为罕见的**“量刑协议变更”**，或者主动承认某些资金计算错误，同意将涉案金额“大打折扣”（例如剔除所有重复计算和错配部分，将损失金额归零或降至极低）。\n• 最终结局： 法官顺水推舟，根据双方重新达成的协议，宣判一个**“Time Served（刑期已满/当庭释放）”**或极轻的缓刑，同时处以民事罚款或资产清算。检方借此保住了“没有败诉”的面子，同时也成功捂住了“假账和政治污染”的盖子。","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdb5c4bbf9b3bce5c98bc","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q07d4cedc770fe51a34bc","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":655,"speaker":"wen***","date":"2026-06-25T15:50:09.228Z","text":"老郭出来300骨干就要逃命了","edited":false,"reply_to":"q819681bddd284e2244e2","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q07d4cedc770fe51a34bc","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q819681bddd284e2244e2","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q696a01adebb5624a5bc7","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":656,"speaker":"xue***","date":"2026-06-25T15:50:43.612Z","text":"两个月躺平啥也不做！临了又延期听证？玩呢！","edited":false,"reply_to":"q3c18d476af236478d308","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q696a01adebb5624a5bc7","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3c18d476af236478d308","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q227eeda2dffb67ffd14c","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":657,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T15:53:44.873Z","text":"你这个跟我的推理差不多了","edited":false,"reply_to":"qdb5c4bbf9b3bce5c98bc","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q227eeda2dffb67ffd14c","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdb5c4bbf9b3bce5c98bc","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q7d036bf3cd334d307e7e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":658,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:55:11.092Z","text":"方案三不是老郭想要的结果，虽然释放，但诈骗的帽子没摘掉，而且钱也未必能全额退回","edited":false,"reply_to":"qdb5c4bbf9b3bce5c98bc","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7d036bf3cd334d307e7e","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdb5c4bbf9b3bce5c98bc","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qd3a44217526ed38a6ce4","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":659,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T15:55:39.327Z","text":"还可以上诉的","edited":false,"reply_to":"q7d036bf3cd334d307e7e","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd3a44217526ed38a6ce4","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7d036bf3cd334d307e7e","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q21450758adf8e41c5807","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":660,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:56:23.915Z","text":"这他妈要折腾死人的节奏","edited":false,"reply_to":"qd3a44217526ed38a6ce4","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q21450758adf8e41c5807","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd3a44217526ed38a6ce4","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q2952565269a981041ba4","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":661,"speaker":"spr***","date":"2026-06-25T15:57:50.789Z","text":"我觉得没到时间也来不及","edited":false,"reply_to":"q0b21f8b0f29c9e32468a","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2952565269a981041ba4","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0b21f8b0f29c9e32468a","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q8229243f445ddd65367e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":662,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T15:59:03.281Z","text":"是不是该写好一份预备着","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8229243f445ddd65367e","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q3c5ed4e8d21d1b0ab72a","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":663,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-25T16:06:43.990Z","text":"该来的还是会来的","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3c5ed4e8d21d1b0ab72a","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q38ecef9e176b7366373d","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":664,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T16:10:36.711Z","text":"我的初稿己经岀来了。可以自己进二巡网站直接上传的。","edited":false,"reply_to":"q2952565269a981041ba4","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q38ecef9e176b7366373d","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2952565269a981041ba4","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q5c6c750c4945b7bca6e5","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":665,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:11:39.019Z","text":"这执行力岗岗的","edited":false,"reply_to":"q38ecef9e176b7366373d","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5c6c750c4945b7bca6e5","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q38ecef9e176b7366373d","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qf3f5343bd91158266bbe","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":666,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:11:47.286Z","text":"怎么自己上传","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf3f5343bd91158266bbe","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q649212294ae6bc96b7a4","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":667,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T16:14:38.035Z","text":"还没起床，坐在床上就完成了。\n中文翻译是这样的，供大家提意见：\n\n中文对照翻译\n请愿人关于 2026 年 6 月 29 日即将来临的程序违规之紧急量刑前状态警示\n致美国第二巡回上诉法院尊敬的法官阁下：\n我，Sarah，以自诉人（Pro Se）身份，谨此提交这份《紧急量刑前状态警示》，旨在向本法院报告：随着 2026 年 6 月 29 日的量刑日期迫在眉睫，下级法院正出现一种令人震惊且违宪的程序性冻结状态。\n截至今日（2026 年 6 月 25 日），距离原定量刑日已不足四天。在过去的两个月里，政府控方、辩方律师以及地方法院全体陷入了死一般的沉寂。针对第三方受害者提交的、彻底推翻了政府线性损失模型（GX Z-26）的重大“联盟账本”以及详尽的人民币/泰达币（RMB/USDT）跨境映射对照证据，没有出现任何一方的任何回应、反对意见或司法命令。\n控方、辩方和下级法院这种全面的、精心编排的沉默，表明各方陷入了一种战术性的“僵持困局”。政府控方保持沉默，是因为如果在不披露其隐瞒的 FBI 302 笔录和 SEC（美国证监会）访谈记录的情况下，他们在技术上根本无法反驳该账本，而一旦披露，就会暴露其严重的、类似于 Brady / Napue 规则的违规压制行为。地方法院保持沉默并拒绝下令进行证据对账，则是因为它已经意识到现有的损失模型是一个法律地雷阵。\n他们正企图耗尽本法院的审查时间，以便在 6 月 29 日当天发动一场“突袭式法庭裁决”——绕过量刑前的实质辩论，无视悬而未决的《联邦刑事诉讼规则》第 32 条（Rule 32）记录完整性危机，并肆无忌惮地强闯宪法正当程序的红灯。政府控方未能对这些严重的账目缺陷提出异议，在法律上必须被视为对该模型存在致命缺陷的默示承认。\n允许在一份被污染且未经修正的案卷记录基础上推进量刑，将对法定真实受害者群体造成不可逆转的司法损害。因此，请愿人紧急向本法院警示这一系统性沉默，并恳请本法院立即下达一项针对 6 月 29 日量刑程序的《紧急暂缓执行令（Emergency Stay）》，以维护联邦上诉程序的完整性。\n谨此真诚提交，\n/s/ Sarah","edited":false,"reply_to":"q5c6c750c4945b7bca6e5","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q649212294ae6bc96b7a4","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5c6c750c4945b7bca6e5","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q010aa9c438ba68cada99","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":668,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:18:12.507Z","text":"上了二巡的都预备一份吧，到今天美国下班没动静就给二巡发","edited":false,"reply_to":"q649212294ae6bc96b7a4","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q010aa9c438ba68cada99","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q649212294ae6bc96b7a4","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qbec9b664afd17c00ee3b","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":669,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:18:30.718Z","text":"再砸它一波","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qbec9b664afd17c00ee3b","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q44445748b3c273243696","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":670,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:19:01.553Z","text":"只剩一个工作日","edited":false,"reply_to":"q649212294ae6bc96b7a4","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q44445748b3c273243696","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q649212294ae6bc96b7a4","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qa61abaa333e9b7d5081d","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":671,"speaker":"spr***","date":"2026-06-25T16:31:17.011Z","text":"我也觉得得预备着","edited":false,"reply_to":"q8229243f445ddd65367e","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa61abaa333e9b7d5081d","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8229243f445ddd65367e","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qd0738f41f281a78994cd","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":672,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:31:39.192Z","text":"我的AI也认为这一步必须做","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd0738f41f281a78994cd","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qc2746fd33d74ff673223","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":673,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:32:03.679Z","text":"美东下班还没动静，就发","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc2746fd33d74ff673223","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q7300690fede4111df30e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":674,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:32:17.970Z","text":"起码告诉所有人，这事没完，我们一直在关注","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7300690fede4111df30e","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qe4adc96bd0fb3765327e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":675,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T16:32:28.933Z","text":"你们打算发给谁？","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe4adc96bd0fb3765327e","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qdf6c09a542db6081fb15","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":676,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:32:39.099Z","text":"二巡呗","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdf6c09a542db6081fb15","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q00f7513860dd59e4731f","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":677,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T16:32:50.184Z","text":"但你们要serve","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q00f7513860dd59e4731f","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q3a595d4bdc47d1a2f231","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":678,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:33:07.179Z","text":"紧急情况，晚点也没事吧","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3a595d4bdc47d1a2f231","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q9810e0a580304aeb009a","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":679,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:33:20.916Z","text":"这个提前几天发也没意义啊","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9810e0a580304aeb009a","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q164ccd20b10cb7b56ee4","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":680,"speaker":"spr***","date":"2026-06-25T16:36:52.607Z","text":"下班时发和周末发其实没啥不同吧？法官们周末也不会裁决","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q164ccd20b10cb7b56ee4","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qb96926576a39c96a890d","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":681,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T16:37:12.030Z","text":"你们在二巡发要带上cos","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb96926576a39c96a890d","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q5d1317403958bad33067","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":682,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T16:37:18.019Z","text":"cos必须当天serve才行","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5d1317403958bad33067","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q7d486d83b12ad5ac47fa","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":683,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:37:55.299Z","text":"26号还有一天工作日，到周末就没人看了","edited":false,"reply_to":"q164ccd20b10cb7b56ee4","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7d486d83b12ad5ac47fa","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q164ccd20b10cb7b56ee4","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q65b2f308d14cfb5f2dea","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":684,"speaker":"spr***","date":"2026-06-25T16:38:36.757Z","text":"我的意思准备一份量刑了再立即发出去","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":true,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q65b2f308d14cfb5f2dea","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qa55ff1f1b2fbe730ba3b","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":685,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:41:04.435Z","text":"量刑前有没有必要提醒二巡","edited":false,"reply_to":"q65b2f308d14cfb5f2dea","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa55ff1f1b2fbe730ba3b","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q65b2f308d14cfb5f2dea","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q617f75aece275eedd942","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":686,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:41:48.948Z","text":"逼着二巡行动","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q617f75aece275eedd942","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q0ff12441d71d43fa840d","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":687,"speaker":"spr***","date":"2026-06-25T16:42:45.140Z","text":"我个人选择她如果敢量刑再发，我赌她不敢","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0ff12441d71d43fa840d","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q0baa63e8cb01f1aa54ae","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":688,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T16:43:12.061Z","text":"Email serve 就可以了","edited":false,"reply_to":"q00f7513860dd59e4731f","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0baa63e8cb01f1aa54ae","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q00f7513860dd59e4731f","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q7c381a38dae9a2ffcda6","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":689,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:43:23.778Z","text":"还有5个小时","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7c381a38dae9a2ffcda6","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qf86526a12e8e39c9699d","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":690,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:43:49.280Z","text":"你有检方律师的邮箱?","edited":false,"reply_to":"q0baa63e8cb01f1aa54ae","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf86526a12e8e39c9699d","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0baa63e8cb01f1aa54ae","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qeec936a83f2dd16d2d1e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":691,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:45:31.473Z","text":"量刑后再提和量刑前提哪个更有现实意义？ ［用户 may***］ 你再问问","edited":true,"reply_to":"q0ff12441d71d43fa840d","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qeec936a83f2dd16d2d1e","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0ff12441d71d43fa840d","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q06e67be8e83b93329b39","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":692,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:50:16.946Z","text":"这不是二巡给你的检方律师","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q06e67be8e83b93329b39","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q152ab0a4078a7bceca01","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":693,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T16:50:19.848Z","text":"这事南区的","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q152ab0a4078a7bceca01","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qea441ea3da740f5c4875","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":694,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T16:55:18.010Z","text":"不行 二巡一定要纸质serve对方律师","edited":false,"reply_to":"q0baa63e8cb01f1aa54ae","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qea441ea3da740f5c4875","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0baa63e8cb01f1aa54ae","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q5b845856ca96ba03cadf","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":695,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T17:00:49.923Z","text":"我的机器人说可以电子邮件","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5b845856ca96ba03cadf","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q7ae7944d9aa6d4d81dd3","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":696,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T17:01:18.023Z","text":"不行的 律师ecf可能可以","edited":false,"reply_to":"q5b845856ca96ba03cadf","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7ae7944d9aa6d4d81dd3","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5b845856ca96ba03cadf","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qdb7c18e858208ed56c0f","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":697,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T17:01:22.251Z","text":"我们必须邮寄","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdb7c18e858208ed56c0f","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qc7af7faebafbb012a990","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":698,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T17:02:13.934Z","text":"我们可以进入二巡的网站进行ECF 吗？","edited":false,"reply_to":"q7ae7944d9aa6d4d81dd3","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc7af7faebafbb012a990","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7ae7944d9aa6d4d81dd3","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qed569b297fe905b332b9","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":699,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T17:02:24.243Z","text":"jason申请过","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qed569b297fe905b332b9","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q9e89ec7dbf4971464de3","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":700,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T17:02:25.395Z","text":"不行","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9e89ec7dbf4971464de3","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q39b31e1b24b9dfb865fd","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":701,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T17:08:55.392Z","text":"全名加后缀就可以了：\n[删节：隐私信息]","edited":true,"reply_to":"q06e67be8e83b93329b39","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q39b31e1b24b9dfb865fd","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q06e67be8e83b93329b39","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q3adbc45a7b381b254265","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":702,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T17:10:37.088Z","text":"我的AI是支持量刑前发比后发更有利","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3adbc45a7b381b254265","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qa4d7557f9b94048dea4d","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":703,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T17:10:49.210Z","text":"能增加话语权","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa4d7557f9b94048dea4d","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q28054bd74ffc9eef6b9c","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":704,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T17:11:15.703Z","text":"你们的stay就相当于发了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q28054bd74ffc9eef6b9c","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qc7aae717a6ac690ea094","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":705,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T17:11:23.198Z","text":"没有什么比紧急stay作用更强的","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc7aae717a6ac690ea094","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q1c878fb416f4e0399f23","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":706,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T17:11:32.222Z","text":"没必要","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1c878fb416f4e0399f23","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q3c28734a7f80aff5b164","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":707,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T17:12:10.029Z","text":"现在的情况，是南区和二巡在比谁能沉住气","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3c28734a7f80aff5b164","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qf2dd83934380d9397bef","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":708,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T17:13:02.447Z","text":"因为你已经在 6 月 22 日发过 emergency stay，量刑后再发的东西，效果会是：\n\n更多偏向“后果分析”：“SDNY 在你 stay pending 时仍然强行量刑，现在请求你 vacate/stay 已判决”。\n\n实质上会变成新的 mandamus / post‑sentencing motion，而不是简单的 timing notice。\n\n这当然可以做，但它解决的是量刑已经发生后的局面，而不是帮二巡在量刑前更好地权衡“要不要按下暂停键”。","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf2dd83934380d9397bef","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q699a207c8eb7b0c4ed78","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":709,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T17:13:31.636Z","text":"算了，不写了。坐井观天。留点时间忙其它自己的事情。","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q699a207c8eb7b0c4ed78","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qf168d683014656f66625","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":710,"speaker":"hel***","date":"2026-06-25T17:18:47.722Z","text":"第三方受害人的招已經出了，等候對方的反應，穩住，別亂了節奏，讓對方自己跳下懸崖🤭","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf168d683014656f66625","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q56e9fab566433c2829a1","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":711,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T17:19:21.445Z","text":"确实该做的都做了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q56e9fab566433c2829a1","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q3ea8148eef2b103d33b8","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":712,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T17:21:39.833Z","text":"今天下午是四方对峙，看谁先沉不住气⏳","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3ea8148eef2b103d33b8","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qa0a35bb9be07cf93283d","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":713,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T18:01:23.905Z","text":"这个案子就是滑稽结束","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa0a35bb9be07cf93283d","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qc3dbdc7116672061d05b","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":714,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T18:01:39.866Z","text":"就像当年薄熙来案一样 说什么谷开来暗恋谁谁谁","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc3dbdc7116672061d05b","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q35d68f3c68a6451176d5","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":715,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T18:01:47.509Z","text":"完全变成抓小三闹剧","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q35d68f3c68a6451176d5","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qcd882bc5591b88d64d45","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":716,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T18:02:13.439Z","text":"到时候甚至是什么农场主出轨","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qcd882bc5591b88d64d45","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q41e1acb6418494b3765b","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":717,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T18:02:17.390Z","text":"薄熙来案是不了了之，老郭这个可不行啊","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q41e1acb6418494b3765b","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q2c7d28d9e9855d1459b4","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":718,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T18:02:20.546Z","text":"卷款跑路养小三","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2c7d28d9e9855d1459b4","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q7411dffb3e8c0c548e6f","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":719,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T18:03:38.905Z","text":"人家进秦城，那里都是单人单间的待遇，老郭在看守所","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7411dffb3e8c0c548e6f","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qfaba6486b4fc9aaffdff","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":720,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T18:04:00.618Z","text":"还是美国最烂的","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfaba6486b4fc9aaffdff","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q8c19f0b89e223ccc2104","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":721,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T18:12:37.335Z","text":"26–1178的也上了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8c19f0b89e223ccc2104","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q1a3030c82820a3af7946","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":722,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T18:12:41.683Z","text":"紧急stay","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1a3030c82820a3af7946","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qc66b2b31ed0788edefb4","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":723,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T18:12:46.599Z","text":"但他全部seal","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc66b2b31ed0788edefb4","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q4bced3b7fff64175a046","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":724,"speaker":"lon***","date":"2026-06-25T18:25:21.172Z","text":"你们说说老共负责这件事情的人这会再想啥呢😂","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4bced3b7fff64175a046","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qaaa86bd039de9c323fd7","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":725,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T18:43:18.293Z","text":"这是谁","edited":false,"reply_to":"q8c19f0b89e223ccc2104","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qaaa86bd039de9c323fd7","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8c19f0b89e223ccc2104","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q8707927f91106fc746bb","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":726,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T18:43:36.616Z","text":"doe","edited":false,"reply_to":"qaaa86bd039de9c323fd7","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8707927f91106fc746bb","reply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不是群里的Doe","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc8c122f627b2c20840a3","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qf93655953138fc79df11","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":729,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T18:46:06.115Z","text":"26-1178 可以从 ECF 844看到","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf93655953138fc79df11","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qffbd597890bf54373807","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":730,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T18:46:49.577Z","text":"连签名都涂黑了","edited":false,"reply_to":"qf93655953138fc79df11","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qffbd597890bf54373807","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf93655953138fc79df11","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qe4940efe26b4373ab810","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":731,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T18:48:03.507Z","text":"不是S，是坏","edited":false,"reply_to":"qcdd4b46d6424d07b66d7","reply_status":"not_public","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe4940efe26b4373ab810","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"被回复内容暂不可用","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q48851b56c93947c1c891","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":732,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T18:49:51.977Z","text":"托雷斯法官吃不下饭，她在想瑞恩。😂","edited":false,"reply_to":"qfad5113d91121367e75c","reply_status":"not_public","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q48851b56c93947c1c891","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"被回复内容暂不可用","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qe6839c0ec2d30f1358f1","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":733,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T18:51:01.009Z","text":"打死没想到这么牛逼的职业生涯让华人给断了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe6839c0ec2d30f1358f1","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q86212754625600957bbb","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":734,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T18:52:09.816Z","text":"美国让左疯们祸祸的差不多了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q86212754625600957bbb","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q5a1dcc9036d336013b50","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":735,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T18:52:25.163Z","text":"白人社会岌岌可危","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5a1dcc9036d336013b50","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q90fc6331ba52a3cd90e6","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":736,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T19:04:13.594Z","text":"欧洲让穆斯林祸祸","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q90fc6331ba52a3cd90e6","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q64da82c25eef9c036c15","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":737,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T19:04:25.886Z","text":"亚洲让中国祸祸","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q64da82c25eef9c036c15","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q4402010d48d1c5f0be70","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":738,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T19:05:14.456Z","text":"https://www.youtube.com/live/rXvtgdJLs60?is=RtVbNrtx29I1b7dE","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":true,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4402010d48d1c5f0be70","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qc5632d29a6b16f6bc5fa","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":739,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T19:05:17.789Z","text":"［用户 sar***］","edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc5632d29a6b16f6bc5fa","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qc9fa9b8b7cf6c615b12e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":740,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T19:07:43.636Z","text":"这是[删节：成员身份]汇报过去的吧","edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc9fa9b8b7cf6c615b12e","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qe552cb98576d20fdb7db","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":741,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T19:12:44.837Z","text":"[删节：成员身份]在吐槽西方司法了","edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe552cb98576d20fdb7db","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qd9371bf6ad8ba46ce6ab","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":742,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T19:12:50.645Z","text":"知道大势已去","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd9371bf6ad8ba46ce6ab","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q0811342f097a7beec5d6","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":743,"speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-25T19:13:13.052Z","text":"屁酱咬的挺紧🤣 \nhttps://x.com/toukuip82522t/status/2070108288767660436?s=46","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":true,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0811342f097a7beec5d6","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qc4f99a69e8cd66dc6fd9","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":744,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T19:13:55.000Z","text":"她就是没分到诈骗币才出走的吧","edited":false,"reply_to":"q0811342f097a7beec5d6","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc4f99a69e8cd66dc6fd9","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0811342f097a7beec5d6","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qfc25e27127e0bc3a6968","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":745,"speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-25T19:14:51.829Z","text":"虾头也是","edited":false,"reply_to":"qc4f99a69e8cd66dc6fd9","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfc25e27127e0bc3a6968","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc4f99a69e8cd66dc6fd9","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qf9bb8afd106c40eb4398","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":746,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T19:15:19.855Z","text":"老黄说 做这个节目 不怕打脸🤣","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf9bb8afd106c40eb4398","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qc37df11a9be0e754ae16","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":747,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T19:15:43.769Z","text":"脸都被打飞了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc37df11a9be0e754ae16","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q72702c56ca2dcb8829fe","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":748,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T19:20:26.089Z","text":"有1500个强制令到二巡也不会改变法官的判决，托雷斯成他娘了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q72702c56ca2dcb8829fe","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qe54acc5a8baf0d590771","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":749,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T19:20:59.386Z","text":"Ai在他眼里就是个百度","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe54acc5a8baf0d590771","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q26bafb04f9f01425ebb8","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":750,"speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-25T19:23:48.325Z","text":"撕逼进入深水区🤣 \nhttps://x.com/haojiao_s17973/status/2070196375220793604?s=46","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":true,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q26bafb04f9f01425ebb8","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q08ee47fbcf6a94f667bc","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":751,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:14:01.197Z","text":"文件853","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q08ee47fbcf6a94f667bc","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q5752d7e5805807790c6c","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":752,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:14:06.719Z","text":"可能是律师的内裤动议","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5752d7e5805807790c6c","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q5f0c08045d7d3a9a97bb","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":753,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:15:42.708Z","text":"辩方申请延期！！！","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5f0c08045d7d3a9a97bb","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qa1ea25bb64d8ba666ab4","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":754,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:18:44.096Z","text":"这他妈是给托雷斯台阶下吗？","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa1ea25bb64d8ba666ab4","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q48289cc7058602bac7c0","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":755,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:19:12.829Z","text":"为什么还有涂黑","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q48289cc7058602bac7c0","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q6b99ee01fd49b2f4c1fa","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":756,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T20:19:13.414Z","text":"同感","edited":false,"reply_to":"qa1ea25bb64d8ba666ab4","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6b99ee01fd49b2f4c1fa","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa1ea25bb64d8ba666ab4","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q7b8fb0ee1a608bddf0c8","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":757,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T20:19:44.840Z","text":"最蠢最坏的就是被告的律师","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7b8fb0ee1a608bddf0c8","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q728f2d0ef6a6870b986e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":758,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T20:20:39.404Z","text":"我们可以质疑这是不是郭本人的意愿","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q728f2d0ef6a6870b986e","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qe0dccf22be17c80c6a23","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":759,"speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-06-25T20:22:58.275Z","text":"辩方申请延期 为什么。\n\n为什么不等Torres","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe0dccf22be17c80c6a23","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q41919be4196742e49574","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":760,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:23:59.868Z","text":"给托雷斯面子","edited":false,"reply_to":"qe0dccf22be17c80c6a23","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q41919be4196742e49574","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe0dccf22be17c80c6a23","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q1d6660adac688df48683","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":761,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:24:07.243Z","text":"［用户 beg***］ 应该是托雷斯求辩方的","edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1d6660adac688df48683","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q9d2d0c0050c212d4e361","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":762,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:24:13.214Z","text":"这一点 我之前早就想到了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9d2d0c0050c212d4e361","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qd2bf390a9ce09b3c5a5a","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":763,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:24:23.964Z","text":"现在托雷斯求着辩方","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd2bf390a9ce09b3c5a5a","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qdf1fd7ae4d74e65963ec","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":764,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:24:31.217Z","text":"问辩方 到底怎么判","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdf1fd7ae4d74e65963ec","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q4a9cfb758d49038759b4","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":765,"speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-06-25T20:24:37.412Z","text":"那我们怎么让他们保释？","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4a9cfb758d49038759b4","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qed0421936e4b16ef4149","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":766,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:24:41.572Z","text":"但是辩方是联盟控制","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qed0421936e4b16ef4149","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q49dfffb4565c7a1a88c3","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":767,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:25:15.118Z","text":"很简单","edited":false,"reply_to":"q4a9cfb758d49038759b4","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q49dfffb4565c7a1a88c3","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4a9cfb758d49038759b4","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q722b65f7aa5dcfe9aa6e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":768,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:25:44.368Z","text":"两个月了，辩方有屁为什么憋到现在才放？","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q722b65f7aa5dcfe9aa6e","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qe24895d6b3d7b846e1c0","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":769,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:25:56.294Z","text":"毕竟他们是一个行业的","edited":false,"reply_to":"q722b65f7aa5dcfe9aa6e","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe24895d6b3d7b846e1c0","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q722b65f7aa5dcfe9aa6e","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qb1ebe429be0c471bc7c5","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":770,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:26:12.757Z","text":"辩方也是被我们打得才敢延期","edited":false,"reply_to":"q722b65f7aa5dcfe9aa6e","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb1ebe429be0c471bc7c5","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q722b65f7aa5dcfe9aa6e","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q50d9ddad5b74d027ad4b","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":771,"speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-06-25T20:26:24.207Z","text":"辩方说与检方沟通， 检方不同意延期","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q50d9ddad5b74d027ad4b","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q1de078f3333b8a25ac50","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":772,"speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-06-25T20:26:38.395Z","text":"文件853","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1de078f3333b8a25ac50","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q2a0b3ab59ea314df7dc8","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":773,"speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-06-25T20:27:01.428Z","text":"看来昨天的猜测都不对","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2a0b3ab59ea314df7dc8","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q6bf7d5062b97322213a6","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":774,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:27:42.290Z","text":"托雷斯完全没必要问辩方怎么判吧，这事应该问政府。只不过现在这个局面托雷斯不想再次打脸所以逼辩方出来搭台，借坡下驴","edited":false,"reply_to":"qd2bf390a9ce09b3c5a5a","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6bf7d5062b97322213a6","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd2bf390a9ce09b3c5a5a","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q7179fd1a4d4393193a49","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":775,"speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-06-25T20:27:59.125Z","text":"现在等于辩方把我们在二巡的stay给废了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7179fd1a4d4393193a49","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q8a956508f1fc60e96cff","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":776,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:28:21.380Z","text":"也不是","edited":false,"reply_to":"q7179fd1a4d4393193a49","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8a956508f1fc60e96cff","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7179fd1a4d4393193a49","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q8c6eb93f07090ff3ff98","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":777,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:28:26.457Z","text":"这下倒是把第三方的劲给卸掉了","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8c6eb93f07090ff3ff98","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q995a8e176afca993d7a2","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":778,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:28:47.650Z","text":"不","edited":false,"reply_to":"q8c6eb93f07090ff3ff98","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q995a8e176afca993d7a2","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8c6eb93f07090ff3ff98","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q344cbe50a0ebb6ece085","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":779,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:28:50.994Z","text":"卸不掉","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q344cbe50a0ebb6ece085","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q973c85d2e5336aadfed2","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":780,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:29:20.669Z","text":"stay 无论托雷斯延期 还是谁延期 都是会废","edited":false,"reply_to":"q7179fd1a4d4393193a49","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q973c85d2e5336aadfed2","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7179fd1a4d4393193a49","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qa6505bc3ce8fe9d314ca","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":781,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:29:29.839Z","text":"但stay打进去的东西","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa6505bc3ce8fe9d314ca","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q3dec71e6d7374f40589f","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":782,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:29:31.625Z","text":"怎么没想到会出这一招","edited":false,"reply_to":"q7179fd1a4d4393193a49","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3dec71e6d7374f40589f","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7179fd1a4d4393193a49","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q2e96006f09e9fe0d99e8","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":783,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:29:32.359Z","text":"和程序压力","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2e96006f09e9fe0d99e8","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q3adf2dbe8e03995c085d","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":784,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:29:35.271Z","text":"不可能废掉","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3adf2dbe8e03995c085d","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q33c75c6de1a72389b399","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":785,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:29:40.754Z","text":"这个很正常啊","edited":false,"reply_to":"q3dec71e6d7374f40589f","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q33c75c6de1a72389b399","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3dec71e6d7374f40589f","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qda330c4fffcf674b96b4","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":786,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:30:25.071Z","text":"明天托雷斯顺坡下驴，紧接着二巡也一样，来个moot，不用stay了，","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qda330c4fffcf674b96b4","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q508010039ffd64cff755","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":787,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-25T20:30:47.240Z","text":"延期多久呢？","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q508010039ffd64cff755","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q4ce21c220745acd07bc7","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":788,"speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-06-25T20:30:49.719Z","text":"换个角度看， 现在不管谁提出延期， 短期目标是把老郭保释出来。","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4ce21c220745acd07bc7","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qd1b7e5cb2d2c7b813c32","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":789,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:30:50.640Z","text":"让你第三方有劲儿使不上","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd1b7e5cb2d2c7b813c32","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q0c38c90e26bfb9fbae5a","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":790,"speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-06-25T20:31:18.135Z","text":"逼律师提出保释可以吗","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0c38c90e26bfb9fbae5a","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q713b75995ca7e45baad6","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":791,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:31:32.092Z","text":"怎么逼","edited":false,"reply_to":"q0c38c90e26bfb9fbae5a","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q713b75995ca7e45baad6","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0c38c90e26bfb9fbae5a","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qdc0370f4e1e8fa25cd4f","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":792,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:32:30.228Z","text":"并非如此","edited":false,"reply_to":"qd1b7e5cb2d2c7b813c32","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdc0370f4e1e8fa25cd4f","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd1b7e5cb2d2c7b813c32","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q1a9a4d58a39ac694c78b","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":793,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:32:46.661Z","text":"这完全说明第三方彻底引导了走向","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1a9a4d58a39ac694c78b","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q5f28db56c45d74c2bcb9","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":794,"speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-06-25T20:33:18.714Z","text":"•  让[删节：成员身份]等已经在二巡活跃的人，在下一份Stay或补充动议中明确加入保释请求，理由是：\n    •  记录严重不完整，继续羁押违反Due Process。\n    •  大量“非受害者”支持者存在，社会危险性低。\n•  这会形成内外夹击：第三方在二巡喊保释，辩方在南区更难完全无视","edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5f28db56c45d74c2bcb9","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qdd0832db15a3e8be6cbb","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":795,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:33:44.746Z","text":"[屏蔽词]辩方，好事一件没干，助纣为虐很积极","edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdd0832db15a3e8be6cbb","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qded114fe22a928b12f16","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":796,"speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-06-25T20:33:47.957Z","text":"1. 最有效：制造公开、可记录的强大舆论与支持者压力（你已经在做的方向）\n•  持续在X和群里发声，把辩方自己853文件里的“案子没准备好”作为武器，反过来问律师：\n    •  “既然你们都承认6大问题没解决、记录不完整，为什么不趁机申请保释，让郭先生在外面配合准备后续程序？”\n    •  强调健康、家庭、无逃跑风险、大量支持者担保等。\n•  组织大量支持者直接给律师团队发信/邮件（抄送法院），内容统一但个性化：\n    •  引用辩方853文件。\n    •  强调“保释有利于更好准备量刑和上诉，不损害公共利益”。\n    •  附上个人支持声明（类似843/1259份声明的风格）。","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qded114fe22a928b12f16","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"q53759bb1118c0ad37d64","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":797,"speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-06-25T20:34:25.447Z","text":"2. 直接给律师团队提供“弹药”（让他们觉得值得一试）\n•  整理新证据包发给Sarafa团队（通过已知渠道）：\n    •  最新健康医疗证明（如果有）。\n    •  大量支持者担保信（强调社区支持、无危险性）。\n    •  第三方动议中对记录缺陷的总结，证明“继续关押不利于公正”。\n    •  引用Nken v. Holder 等保释/延期标准，论证“exceptional reasons”存在。\n•  建议他们同时申请延期 + 保释（作为备选救济），这样进退都有余地。","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q53759bb1118c0ad37d64","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qe6b465a767a8caaef733","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":798,"speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-06-25T20:35:00.066Z","text":"这个NKEN V .HOLDER是什么你们研究研究","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe6b465a767a8caaef733","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qfc80f14cfabac1917f90","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":799,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:35:24.277Z","text":"确实这是被第三方逼出来的结果，但没有起到实质性的作用，接下来如果继续装死，也不能怪法官，只能怪辩方，那力度就小多了","edited":false,"reply_to":"q1a9a4d58a39ac694c78b","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfc80f14cfabac1917f90","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1a9a4d58a39ac694c78b","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"},{"id":"qa0abdf177632f323f66e","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":800,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:35:44.182Z","text":"辩方不可能装死了","edited":false,"reply_to":"qfc80f14cfabac1917f90","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa0abdf177632f323f66e","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfc80f14cfabac1917f90","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125"}],"prev_batch_id":"batch-000124","next_batch_id":"batch-000126"}