{"id":"q00f71c10b5cde0aaf3bf","batch_id":"batch-000083","seq":310,"speaker":"him***","date":"2026-02-23T19:03:22.129Z","text":"加上 Bai 的 25-2726（虽然没被并入这四个，但也在第二巡回），现在第二巡回手上至少有五个来自不同请愿人的案子，全部指向同一个地区法院的同一个案件。\n\n4. 对量刑的实际影响\n\n• 直接阻止量刑？ 不太可能。Mandamus 通常不会自动中止（stay）下级法院程序\n• 但量刑法官必须考虑： Torres 法官知道上诉法院正在审查她处理受害人权利的方式。如果她在量刑中完全忽视这些请愿人提出的问题，等于给上诉留把柄\n• 量刑后的攻击面大大扩展： 如果第二巡回认定地区法院确实侵犯了CVRA权利，量刑可能面临 resentencing（重新量刑）\n\n5. 最大的悬念\n第二巡回会怎么做？三种可能：\n\n• 驳回 → 影响有限，但记录已经进去了\n• 要求地区法院回应 → 这就是实质性的压力，说明上诉法院认为有问题\n• 发出强制令 → 概率最低但影响最大，直接命令地区法院入卷并处理这些文件\n\n并案 order 的日期是 2月18日——距离量刑越近，这个并案审理的时间压力就越大。第二巡回的下一步动作值得密切关注。","edited":false,"reply_to":"qeeee12f9595ceb170460","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q00f71c10b5cde0aaf3bf","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qeeee12f9595ceb170460","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000083","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000083","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q00f71c10b5cde0aaf3bf","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q00f71c10b5cde0aaf3bf/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q00f71c10b5cde0aaf3bf","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q2070c3ff5ac566f35578","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-02-23T18:12:45.880Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2070c3ff5ac566f35578"},{"id":"qeeee12f9595ceb170460","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-02-23T18:43:16.260Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qeeee12f9595ceb170460"},{"id":"qb65411ed66ebeb6c83b5","speaker":"Sap***","date":"2026-02-23T18:45:26.320Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb65411ed66ebeb6c83b5"},{"id":"q95d08cde11a6044d9544","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-02-23T19:06:37.761Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q95d08cde11a6044d9544"},{"id":"q6d0e9ec8ab0d695b221c","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-02-23T19:08:37.107Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6d0e9ec8ab0d695b221c"},{"id":"q11b7283b329c9bd33e5f","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-02-23T19:08:45.816Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q11b7283b329c9bd33e5f"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qeeee12f9595ceb170460","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-02-23T18:43:16.260Z","text":"二巡并案，意味着二巡受理了吗？","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qeeee12f9595ceb170460"}}