{"id":"q0ba140ecddf98833d89a","batch_id":"batch-000112","seq":198,"speaker":"ton***","date":"2026-05-17T06:04:57.074Z","text":"所以 精确推演到是第三方prose的概率 很低","edited":false,"reply_to":"qadab171f1d9bd35ba3e5","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0ba140ecddf98833d89a","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qadab171f1d9bd35ba3e5","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000112","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000112","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0ba140ecddf98833d89a","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0ba140ecddf98833d89a/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q0ba140ecddf98833d89a","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q9a1a0dcf0947d405514f","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-05-17T06:03:14.139Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9a1a0dcf0947d405514f"},{"id":"qf3ed7ae22c126e8ba86b","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-05-17T06:03:28.216Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf3ed7ae22c126e8ba86b"},{"id":"q45777e8f3c867cb711a0","speaker":"ton***","date":"2026-05-17T06:04:03.840Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q45777e8f3c867cb711a0"},{"id":"q417c3ef987cb4cd9ba1f","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-05-17T06:05:21.074Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q417c3ef987cb4cd9ba1f"},{"id":"qf025de1385de682965af","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-05-17T06:06:58.959Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf025de1385de682965af"},{"id":"q3bcfdbcacdb648c64cc4","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-05-17T06:09:23.625Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3bcfdbcacdb648c64cc4"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qadab171f1d9bd35ba3e5","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-05-17T06:02:43.778Z","text":"可能性很低","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qadab171f1d9bd35ba3e5"}}