{"id":"q1007b1960ceb9b11ced5","batch_id":"batch-000070","seq":525,"speaker":"reb***","date":"2026-01-17T23:58:03.237Z","text":"上最高法，管他可能性有多小，也要试一下。二巡的意思可以被理解为不接受853申请强制令，管他实际是什么意图。不接受853申请强制令，等同于剥夺853的正当程序权。正好有巡回判例冲突，正好是一个写cert的钩子。","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"qe388b84242f07ab464d0","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1007b1960ceb9b11ced5","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe388b84242f07ab464d0","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000070/pages/3","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000070/pages/3","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1007b1960ceb9b11ced5","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1007b1960ceb9b11ced5/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q1007b1960ceb9b11ced5","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q395fd305a4617f60b50a","speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-01-17T23:46:10.814Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q395fd305a4617f60b50a"},{"id":"qe388b84242f07ab464d0","speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-01-17T23:51:18.061Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe388b84242f07ab464d0"},{"id":"qc892bf16d120ae24627e","speaker":"reb***","date":"2026-01-17T23:53:14.699Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc892bf16d120ae24627e"},{"id":"qf8a382edf0da1c4c28ac","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-01-17T23:58:25.237Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf8a382edf0da1c4c28ac"},{"id":"qc1803e23939658296d2f","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-01-17T23:58:34.614Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc1803e23939658296d2f"},{"id":"qf55ae23b28afea204388","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-01-17T23:58:59.285Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf55ae23b28afea204388"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qe388b84242f07ab464d0","speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-01-17T23:51:18.061Z","text":"再确认一下：\n\n又一份853n强制令被二巡拒绝了， 二巡的拒绝信与我及另外一位同样模版信， 就是说 “a review indicates you have not filed a motion for relief under the CVRA statute in the district court” - \n\n大家认为如果再同样以 non CVRA 上二巡， 是不是还是被拒？","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe388b84242f07ab464d0"}}