{"id":"q15920bf0c6d23f4f4348","batch_id":"batch-000069","seq":860,"speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-16T08:59:46.479Z","text":"② 给南区发而不是给二巡发，有什么“心理效果”？\n\n这个动作有 倒置关系：\n\n正常流程是：\n\n法院监督 → 当事人服从\n\n现在变成：\n\n当事人监督 → 法院被动\n\n这种“角色倒置”会产生非常强的 chilling effect（寒蝉效应）\n\n对谁？\n\n不是法官\n\n而是 检方 + 执行法院工作人员 + Clerk + US Probation + DOJ + Luc\n\n这些人在行政链条上最怕：\n\n✔ 二巡来监督\n✔ 程序被留下记录\n✔ 最后搞进高院历史判例","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q15920bf0c6d23f4f4348","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000069","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000069","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q15920bf0c6d23f4f4348","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q15920bf0c6d23f4f4348/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q15920bf0c6d23f4f4348","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q6c07c5b4eb0cd8e5dbe5","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-01-16T08:58:17.725Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6c07c5b4eb0cd8e5dbe5"},{"id":"q76db2ac8874142c75302","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-01-16T08:59:05.609Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q76db2ac8874142c75302"},{"id":"q5e6010e5afd26239b38a","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-16T08:59:13.399Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5e6010e5afd26239b38a"},{"id":"qd454f45719c0397d20e0","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-16T09:00:29.030Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd454f45719c0397d20e0"},{"id":"q339148ef1675c48c44af","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-16T09:00:52.422Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q339148ef1675c48c44af"},{"id":"q9fadf81a9d8a6a7d07d3","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-01-16T09:02:22.161Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9fadf81a9d8a6a7d07d3"}],"parent_message":null}