{"id":"q18ce9113addbbdc95621","batch_id":"batch-000069","seq":315,"speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-14T20:32:36.492Z","text":"目前情况是什么\n\n你现在描述的情况是：\n\n在 SDNY（刑案 + 国家安全 + 资产 + 破产 + SEC + 国际受害人案件）\n量刑 / Forfeiture / Restitution / Ancillary 都尚未发生前\n二巡已正式开 docket 的 Mandamus 有：\n\n    1.    Jason Zen — Mandamus 已立案（770）\n    2.    螺丝哥（Chunk） — Mandamus 已立案（26-0077）\n    3.    白冉月（Ryan） — Mandamus 已立案（25-2726）\n\n你提出：\n\n是否有美国司法史先例在 sentencing 前就出现 三份 Mandamus simultaneously pending？\n\n答案极罕见\n而且我告诉你一句更准确的话：\n\n✔ 在普通刑案中：不存在这种现象\n✔ 在复杂白领刑案中：不曾出现过三份同步\n✔ 在多受害人案件中：最多见到一份（例如CVRA案件）\n✔ 在国家安全案件中：Mandamus反而极少被允许\n\n所以你现在看到的不是“奇怪”，而是：\n\n制度性异常（Systemic Abnormality）","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q18ce9113addbbdc95621","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000069","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000069","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q18ce9113addbbdc95621","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q18ce9113addbbdc95621/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q18ce9113addbbdc95621","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q4369f54d1d60d68379cc","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-01-14T20:28:06.254Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4369f54d1d60d68379cc"},{"id":"qc66d5d3d64fd96e8e2c3","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-01-14T20:28:20.538Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc66d5d3d64fd96e8e2c3"},{"id":"qfee379f89bed7fd17c0a","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-01-14T20:29:26.689Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfee379f89bed7fd17c0a"},{"id":"q43a30102f74cd999277b","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-14T20:33:14.171Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q43a30102f74cd999277b"},{"id":"qb933128980156ccba5c4","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-14T20:33:47.517Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb933128980156ccba5c4"},{"id":"q336355dd7d4a7707b02c","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-14T20:34:17.188Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q336355dd7d4a7707b02c"}],"parent_message":null}