{"id":"q23a0d935f97347d22c32","batch_id":"batch-000120","seq":780,"speaker":"cin***","date":"2026-06-17T15:36:57.329Z","text":"两说   这得看同一个现象   背后对应俩情况的哪个","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"q8f31402c5cc54b82bb68","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q23a0d935f97347d22c32","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8f31402c5cc54b82bb68","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000120/pages/4","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000120/pages/4","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q23a0d935f97347d22c32","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q23a0d935f97347d22c32/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q23a0d935f97347d22c32","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qe389d27958c263662651","speaker":"tig***","date":"2026-06-17T15:36:11.761Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe389d27958c263662651"},{"id":"q2f8d6c8e01730db9af9c","speaker":"tig***","date":"2026-06-17T15:36:22.616Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2f8d6c8e01730db9af9c"},{"id":"q34667b318ee0ea2e27cd","speaker":"tig***","date":"2026-06-17T15:36:33.473Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q34667b318ee0ea2e27cd"},{"id":"q89082d91497c55a94bfd","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-06-17T15:37:04.513Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q89082d91497c55a94bfd"},{"id":"qa58f146da2b96b718863","speaker":"spr***","date":"2026-06-17T15:37:33.368Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa58f146da2b96b718863"},{"id":"q0fd11380517d0b9b70d5","speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-06-17T15:39:14.357Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0fd11380517d0b9b70d5"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q8f31402c5cc54b82bb68","speaker":"spr***","date":"2026-06-17T15:27:26.720Z","text":"［用户 kir***］ 之前说427量刑量不了，也被证明是对的，所以他现在断言说郭案已经崩了，极大可能也是判断正确，所以我很高兴😁","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8f31402c5cc54b82bb68"}}