{"id":"q2a22da4f64fcb88579e7","batch_id":"batch-000071","seq":705,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-01-20T19:50:56.238Z","text":"[删节：成员身份]  各位 瑞恩的733 和二巡判例 成功的把量刑变成了一个不可实现的选项。 我可以百分百断定 没有量刑了。但是那不意味着赢了，法院还有一个最肮脏手段 就是拖到死。如果没有其他变量，他可以继续拖几个月到几年把你关到死。所以 733 和瑞恩的二巡 最多只能让量刑程序不可实现。 要立即翻案，或者撤诉，必须是瑞恩现在在等的东西摆上台面才行。","text_en":null,"edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2a22da4f64fcb88579e7","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000071/pages/4","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000071/pages/4","notice":"这里汇集爆料革命参与者围绕郭文贵案的持续讨论，包括长期深度参与者及自述投入真金白银的投资者。他们分享亲历过程、资金投入与后续遭遇，并结合案卷展开追问、核对和观点交锋。这些来自事件内部的经验与细节，为理解事件经过和投资者处境提供了外部报道之外的重要视角。请结合具体发言判断其经历与依据，引用时保留发言者、时间和上下文。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2a22da4f64fcb88579e7","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2a22da4f64fcb88579e7/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q2a22da4f64fcb88579e7","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q8c2aefd997bfd3b51cb0","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-01-20T19:47:22.977Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8c2aefd997bfd3b51cb0"},{"id":"qa9a5d27ecbe5bfa8a303","speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-01-20T19:48:09.227Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa9a5d27ecbe5bfa8a303"},{"id":"q79ded53cbc3e6d9d772e","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-01-20T19:49:50.576Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q79ded53cbc3e6d9d772e"},{"id":"q8f332b0895d6a1163d27","speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-01-20T19:51:15.654Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8f332b0895d6a1163d27"},{"id":"q23a734907b8c50ad3d54","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-01-20T19:52:08.418Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q23a734907b8c50ad3d54"},{"id":"qf599e6262c578afa6566","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-01-20T19:54:38.115Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf599e6262c578afa6566"}],"parent_message":null}