{"id":"q336c0e2779beac999bfd","batch_id":"batch-000132","seq":522,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-07-06T20:21:45.620Z","text":"托雷斯不可能不知道她这么做等于是在认错，但她仍选择这么干，这到底是为什么？","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"qd2ea40b43e0195eb8a5c","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q336c0e2779beac999bfd","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd2ea40b43e0195eb8a5c","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000132/pages/3","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000132/pages/3","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q336c0e2779beac999bfd","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q336c0e2779beac999bfd/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q336c0e2779beac999bfd","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qd38894721bfabafb46cb","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-07-06T20:19:05.758Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd38894721bfabafb46cb"},{"id":"q293a66a175b9474fa449","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-07-06T20:19:22.440Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q293a66a175b9474fa449"},{"id":"q32a05f01789ff23001df","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-07-06T20:20:04.063Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q32a05f01789ff23001df"},{"id":"qb31eb63e539b19980b74","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-07-06T20:22:22.200Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb31eb63e539b19980b74"},{"id":"q44480e7ee8ddcb7f0d97","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-07-06T20:22:48.375Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q44480e7ee8ddcb7f0d97"},{"id":"qe2cdc3ed14892d913136","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-07-06T20:23:20.912Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe2cdc3ed14892d913136"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qd2ea40b43e0195eb8a5c","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-07-06T20:18:09.669Z","text":"我认为目前的情况更可能是：\n•  托雷斯在单方面灭火：她自己意识到隐私问题和程序问题可能被二巡抓住把柄，所以在判刑后开始做一些补救动作。\n•  二巡在观察和筛选：他们没有急着全部驳回，而是把案件分成了tandem group，继续接收新材料（Tony、Jason Zen、Anna等人还在继续提交）。这说明二巡至少还没有决定“全部驳回”。\n•  二巡不会完全配合把所有问题抹掉：因为如果他们真的想配合托雷斯，他们可以更早驳回，而不是让这些案件拖到现在。拖得越久，记录就越完整，对第三方越有利。","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd2ea40b43e0195eb8a5c"}}