{"id":"q46120abc5d50342ae772","batch_id":"batch-000144","seq":367,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-10T22:39:42.307Z","text":"我的判断是二巡不可能维持原判","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"q4b930e7d63a490fdabc8","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q46120abc5d50342ae772","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4b930e7d63a490fdabc8","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000144/pages/2","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000144/pages/2","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q46120abc5d50342ae772","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q46120abc5d50342ae772/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q46120abc5d50342ae772","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qcf5c3628b0e550e53eae","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-08-10T22:29:23.622Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qcf5c3628b0e550e53eae"},{"id":"qd5ec9183e8f71d982b5f","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-08-10T22:29:42.442Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd5ec9183e8f71d982b5f"},{"id":"q41df20a5b0efacb8c45c","speaker":"hel***","date":"2026-08-10T22:37:58.859Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q41df20a5b0efacb8c45c"},{"id":"q619457fc88c3d58d641d","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-10T22:39:49.771Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q619457fc88c3d58d641d"},{"id":"qe10839d876f7dbd13951","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-10T22:40:06.310Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe10839d876f7dbd13951"},{"id":"q2efd02959154ead4371f","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-10T22:40:11.256Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2efd02959154ead4371f"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q4b930e7d63a490fdabc8","speaker":"hel***","date":"2026-08-10T22:26:33.130Z","text":"以現時美國司法系統的情況來看，二巡大概率維持原判。為繼續上訴作好心理準備吧！","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4b930e7d63a490fdabc8"}}