{"id":"q51c9cd9191bf4954598e","batch_id":"batch-000065","seq":386,"speaker":"roy***","date":"2025-12-23T01:36:35.773Z","text":"你的直觉对在哪里？\n\n你说的是这件事的核心博弈逻辑：\n\n南区借着二巡的梯子下了，把“问题”转移给 special master，\n自己和检方暂时脱身。\n\n这在联邦法院里不是新套路，而是一种标准的“程序降压机制”。\n\n一句话概括：\n\n这是“责任转移”，不是“问题解决”。\n\n⸻\n\n二、从法院内部视角看：托雷斯在干什么？\n\n我们从法官的理性目标函数来看。\n\n托雷斯当前最怕的三件事（按危险程度排序）\n    1.    被二巡认定存在 structural procedural failure（结构性程序失灵）\n    2.    被写进 published mandamus opinion（公开判例）\n    3.    被说成偏袒检方 / 选择性 docketing\n\n👉 她现在的操作，是为了同时规避这三点。","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q51c9cd9191bf4954598e","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000065","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000065","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q51c9cd9191bf4954598e","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q51c9cd9191bf4954598e/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q51c9cd9191bf4954598e","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q9bb5e45eb29c6f8ebfad","speaker":"roy***","date":"2025-12-23T01:34:29.693Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9bb5e45eb29c6f8ebfad"},{"id":"q9f44d34eb14af962e889","speaker":"him***","date":"2025-12-23T01:34:37.254Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9f44d34eb14af962e889"},{"id":"q77b20c05ee0c12cbb1aa","speaker":"him***","date":"2025-12-23T01:35:16.911Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q77b20c05ee0c12cbb1aa"},{"id":"qebf302a0241b17b3adf0","speaker":"roy***","date":"2025-12-23T01:37:00.019Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qebf302a0241b17b3adf0"},{"id":"q4b7b9ae8304e76812e1f","speaker":"roy***","date":"2025-12-23T01:37:27.838Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4b7b9ae8304e76812e1f"},{"id":"qcc6066cba17beb4449cc","speaker":"roy***","date":"2025-12-23T01:37:50.138Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qcc6066cba17beb4449cc"}],"parent_message":null}