{"id":"q5fd00f9782a2f729ed90","batch_id":"batch-000105","seq":161,"speaker":"him***","date":"2026-04-25T00:29:51.157Z","text":"量刑是可能的，但是郭也不会永久的被关，上诉成功率还是很大的","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"qf7097d4d856e06fb00b8","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5fd00f9782a2f729ed90","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf7097d4d856e06fb00b8","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000105","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000105","notice":"这里汇集爆料革命参与者围绕郭文贵案的持续讨论，包括长期深度参与者及自述投入真金白银的投资者。他们分享亲历过程、资金投入与后续遭遇，并结合案卷展开追问、核对和观点交锋。这些来自事件内部的经验与细节，为理解事件经过和投资者处境提供了外部报道之外的重要视角。请结合具体发言判断其经历与依据，引用时保留发言者、时间和上下文。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5fd00f9782a2f729ed90","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5fd00f9782a2f729ed90/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q5fd00f9782a2f729ed90","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qdfe38c46c8b087060773","speaker":"mia***","date":"2026-04-25T00:28:53.387Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdfe38c46c8b087060773"},{"id":"qf7097d4d856e06fb00b8","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-04-25T00:28:54.785Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf7097d4d856e06fb00b8"},{"id":"q84985a5bd1fe0c5b142e","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-04-25T00:29:00.743Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q84985a5bd1fe0c5b142e"},{"id":"q5c2ab2b2776ce721cb86","speaker":"mia***","date":"2026-04-25T00:29:53.378Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5c2ab2b2776ce721cb86"},{"id":"q8e63844a6c3e4bd39df6","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-04-25T00:30:21.031Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8e63844a6c3e4bd39df6"},{"id":"qff8802779e28d2ab8b0b","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-04-25T00:31:00.765Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qff8802779e28d2ab8b0b"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qf7097d4d856e06fb00b8","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-04-25T00:28:54.785Z","text":"对啊","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf7097d4d856e06fb00b8"}}