{"id":"q62edc700bda63bc3319c","batch_id":"batch-000139","seq":158,"speaker":"him***","date":"2026-07-25T04:42:42.936Z","text":"Z同学，你之前不是说瑞恩一定会翻案，这群都要听瑞恩的，不听他都是特务吗，怎么突然180度大转弯了😵‍💫","edited":false,"reply_to":"q9592b59c5ad745681014","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q62edc700bda63bc3319c","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9592b59c5ad745681014","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000139","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000139","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q62edc700bda63bc3319c","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q62edc700bda63bc3319c/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q62edc700bda63bc3319c","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qa6a6d412a0e006b85de2","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-07-25T04:21:20.368Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa6a6d412a0e006b85de2"},{"id":"q4ecf1f6b94e2cc2516aa","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-07-25T04:21:40.453Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4ecf1f6b94e2cc2516aa"},{"id":"q5579f661d5bfbbaea0f3","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-07-25T04:22:16.661Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5579f661d5bfbbaea0f3"},{"id":"q8f77a8247a87a9f0a6b6","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-07-25T04:43:59.296Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8f77a8247a87a9f0a6b6"},{"id":"q0cf3c4a8df01b731925b","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-07-25T04:44:49.836Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0cf3c4a8df01b731925b"},{"id":"q172e95cdbbea15031e64","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-07-25T04:45:31.265Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q172e95cdbbea15031e64"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q9592b59c5ad745681014","speaker":"cin***","date":"2026-07-25T03:48:19.619Z","text":"一定成谶 他只要做类似这种积极判断 势必走向相反 这是经过大量检验的 而且越重大越清晰 越好判断 彻底转折属于有点战略模糊 不排除上传个毫无意义的文件他会这么说  但好比案件上诉通过 打回重审这类事 放心不在范畴 \n而且根据这个 能引申一个预测： 等你们忘得差不多了 他一定会在某个时间点再说一次类似的话 比如年末 比如27年的某天 他会说 今年几月几月 彻底 重大改变等等  [删节：成员身份]","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9592b59c5ad745681014"}}