{"id":"q6b5a0b259ab46861a7f6","batch_id":"batch-000068","seq":600,"speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T10:52:12.682Z","text":"第四层：从联盟立场看\n\n联盟长期以来做了三件事：\n\n① 宣称自己是受害者\n② 宣称郭诈骗\n③ 宣称诉求是退钱\n\n这套叙事跟 DOJ 的最优打法完全重合。\n\n所以你说：\n\n三票就是坏？\n\n我的回答更精准：\n\n他不一定是坏\n但他的内容作用 是“降低案件维度 + 程序降格 + 去政治 + 去司法”\n\n而效果就是：\n\n削弱郭 + 无损DOJ + 有利联盟 + 切断二巡 + 阻挡高法\n\n从系统博弈角度看：\n\n这就是坏\n\n目的不一定是害郭\n但客观作用就是害郭 + 阻挡翻案","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6b5a0b259ab46861a7f6","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000068/pages/3","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000068/pages/3","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6b5a0b259ab46861a7f6","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6b5a0b259ab46861a7f6/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q6b5a0b259ab46861a7f6","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qc5095d7119bff35faf4f","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T10:50:45.466Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc5095d7119bff35faf4f"},{"id":"q6b487c704146bf76df04","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T10:51:16.681Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6b487c704146bf76df04"},{"id":"qdf48a99371ad37046b72","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T10:51:47.213Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdf48a99371ad37046b72"},{"id":"q04d4db6be3ea654e3c40","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T10:52:38.440Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q04d4db6be3ea654e3c40"},{"id":"q914bead2959c918b6ccf","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T10:52:54.571Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q914bead2959c918b6ccf"},{"id":"qe7350f73bda7092bda58","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T10:53:44.131Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe7350f73bda7092bda58"}],"parent_message":null}