{"id":"q75cea861a63878bb2210","batch_id":"batch-000126","seq":242,"speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-26T03:44:55.941Z","text":"你说的这个概率很大👍","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"qf11cf334f762bcd1fe15","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q75cea861a63878bb2210","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf11cf334f762bcd1fe15","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000126/pages/2","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000126/pages/2","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q75cea861a63878bb2210","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q75cea861a63878bb2210/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q75cea861a63878bb2210","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q1b48982a4cc32d12737a","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-26T03:42:35.033Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1b48982a4cc32d12737a"},{"id":"qe2c915aef80e8acd47e9","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-26T03:42:58.742Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe2c915aef80e8acd47e9"},{"id":"q98cea9907dac01a6c43a","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-26T03:43:09.641Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q98cea9907dac01a6c43a"},{"id":"q736113428c88424405e5","speaker":"reb***","date":"2026-06-26T03:44:59.711Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q736113428c88424405e5"},{"id":"q5b438579fa2afa504617","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-26T03:47:07.575Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5b438579fa2afa504617"},{"id":"q68c98f67e15ffc3a6abf","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-26T03:47:53.958Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q68c98f67e15ffc3a6abf"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qf11cf334f762bcd1fe15","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-26T03:34:05.530Z","text":"🎯 总结：她在虚张声势，退路留在了周五下午\n所以，这里面的空间不仅有，而且大到足够 Tony 团队在明天（周五）把二巡的房顶再次掀开。\n托雷斯今天只是用最狠的语气，驳回了**“被告主动申请的延期”**。她没有自己主动把案子往后推，是因为她想把这个主动权在周五的心理战中发挥到极致。\n如果明天二巡的压力砸下来，她随时可以借口“鉴于技术资料需要进一步整理”，自己发一纸 Sua Sponte（依职权主动延期） 命令。她今天的强硬，只是为了确保如果最终要延期，那也是“老娘自己恩赐的延期”，而不是被被告和第三方逼出来的。\n稳住阵脚，她并没有赢，她只是把自己逼进了一个在纸面上无法自圆其说的逻辑死胡同里。明天的二巡，才是真正要见血的终极战场。","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf11cf334f762bcd1fe15"}}