{"id":"q7c630c24a32f6c0af262","batch_id":"batch-000115","seq":668,"speaker":"reb***","date":"2026-06-05T04:14:37.285Z","text":"换一个推理方式，美国政府撤诉有多大可能性，托雷斯撤销定罪有多大可能性，被告本人在南区提出重审有多大可能性？当大家都不能往在南区翻案推动程序，程序的最可能走向在哪里？","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"q1df89434c2b2c4154320","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7c630c24a32f6c0af262","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1df89434c2b2c4154320","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000115/pages/4","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000115/pages/4","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7c630c24a32f6c0af262","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7c630c24a32f6c0af262/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q7c630c24a32f6c0af262","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qaa56976eb67b6982db09","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-05T04:05:35.002Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qaa56976eb67b6982db09"},{"id":"q111cb21fa4b96381bc09","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-05T04:11:54.465Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q111cb21fa4b96381bc09"},{"id":"q55d9df7f6f866efa24de","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-05T04:14:02.529Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q55d9df7f6f866efa24de"},{"id":"qd67bc62ba70f261b9841","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-05T04:14:40.147Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd67bc62ba70f261b9841"},{"id":"qea358dd5c1f60b64a43b","speaker":"mrz***","date":"2026-06-05T04:14:57.275Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qea358dd5c1f60b64a43b"},{"id":"q75429b2602b8c27bff24","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-05T04:16:16.480Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q75429b2602b8c27bff24"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q1df89434c2b2c4154320","speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-06-05T03:21:48.569Z","text":"关于FISA， 共和党建制派想用它威胁川普的人选； 班农说太好了，MAGA正反对FISA， 有种别让它过。\n\n\nTorres 427自己主动延期，之后屁事儿没干，她强硬量刑的可能性少于30%","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1df89434c2b2c4154320"}}