{"id":"q7d23b0576c74c93239f8","batch_id":"batch-000146","seq":354,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-17T04:03:55.642Z","text":"维持原判的概率为0","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"q9e27761dfa25fdcf7ece","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7d23b0576c74c93239f8","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9e27761dfa25fdcf7ece","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000146/pages/2","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000146/pages/2","notice":"这里汇集爆料革命参与者围绕郭文贵案的持续讨论，包括长期深度参与者及自述投入真金白银的投资者。他们分享亲历过程、资金投入与后续遭遇，并结合案卷展开追问、核对和观点交锋。这些来自事件内部的经验与细节，为理解事件经过和投资者处境提供了外部报道之外的重要视角。请结合具体发言判断其经历与依据，引用时保留发言者、时间和上下文。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7d23b0576c74c93239f8","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7d23b0576c74c93239f8/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q7d23b0576c74c93239f8","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q3579720f5e972f310cce","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-17T03:54:38.473Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3579720f5e972f310cce"},{"id":"q9e27761dfa25fdcf7ece","speaker":"hel***","date":"2026-08-17T04:01:03.709Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9e27761dfa25fdcf7ece"},{"id":"q3fbdbad763153614a1e7","speaker":"chu***","date":"2026-08-17T04:02:58.147Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3fbdbad763153614a1e7"},{"id":"qa8ca73f8bf1e28cd927e","speaker":"lon***","date":"2026-08-17T04:12:29.199Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa8ca73f8bf1e28cd927e"},{"id":"q54e21cb9f6c5f8d92a47","speaker":"lon***","date":"2026-08-17T04:12:50.265Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q54e21cb9f6c5f8d92a47"},{"id":"q3ae397b2d3b4c65316e1","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-17T04:36:40.616Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3ae397b2d3b4c65316e1"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q9e27761dfa25fdcf7ece","speaker":"hel***","date":"2026-08-17T04:01:03.709Z","text":"如能推翻案件當然首選推翻，但需要時間及非常多因素配合。萬一二巡依然維持原判呢？","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9e27761dfa25fdcf7ece"}}