{"id":"q85c1ad68de4d05377771","batch_id":"batch-000125","seq":807,"speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-06-25T20:36:59.158Z","text":"短期：律师先以Nken申请量刑延期 + 有限行政Stay，同时在动议中嵌入保释作为备选。\n•  中期：收集健康证明 + 大量担保信 + 新证据包，推动“exceptional reasons”组合。\n•  推动律师：用以上分析写信/公开呼吁，强调“辩方853已承认问题严重，现在是申请保释的最佳窗口”。","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q85c1ad68de4d05377771","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125/pages/5","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000125/pages/5","notice":"这里汇集爆料革命参与者围绕郭文贵案的持续讨论，包括长期深度参与者及自述投入真金白银的投资者。他们分享亲历过程、资金投入与后续遭遇，并结合案卷展开追问、核对和观点交锋。这些来自事件内部的经验与细节，为理解事件经过和投资者处境提供了外部报道之外的重要视角。请结合具体发言判断其经历与依据，引用时保留发言者、时间和上下文。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q85c1ad68de4d05377771","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q85c1ad68de4d05377771/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q85c1ad68de4d05377771","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q29bb0d09af6c208de076","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:36:07.062Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q29bb0d09af6c208de076"},{"id":"qf2889c5e16898f37d6ea","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-06-25T20:36:16.833Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf2889c5e16898f37d6ea"},{"id":"q8e08cb997610b9902625","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-06-25T20:36:39.823Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8e08cb997610b9902625"},{"id":"q21aaeaad4349dab63476","speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-06-25T20:37:03.671Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q21aaeaad4349dab63476"},{"id":"q9015829add8f38d5139b","speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-06-25T20:38:42.175Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9015829add8f38d5139b"},{"id":"q11deaa4da9597d4e7d55","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-25T20:39:13.184Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q11deaa4da9597d4e7d55"}],"parent_message":null}