{"id":"q86dbc1a59dfc05e00878","batch_id":"batch-000044","seq":361,"speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-01T19:50:11.149Z","text":"如果你说郭翻案大概率做不成 我是同意的 我觉得就算我大招全部打出去并且上诉 量刑前郭出来的概率也只有50%","edited":false,"reply_to":"q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q86dbc1a59dfc05e00878","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000044","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000044","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q86dbc1a59dfc05e00878","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q86dbc1a59dfc05e00878/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q86dbc1a59dfc05e00878","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q9f17137e9604dcc58c83","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-01T19:45:04.508Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9f17137e9604dcc58c83"},{"id":"qc4fa2eed9659bd6d0b85","speaker":"sar***","date":"2025-10-01T19:45:20.075Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc4fa2eed9659bd6d0b85"},{"id":"q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9","speaker":"him***","date":"2025-10-01T19:47:25.886Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9"},{"id":"q788af950f7d87bf41b21","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-01T19:50:31.004Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q788af950f7d87bf41b21"},{"id":"qa6c975da7e0a9c30ec05","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-01T19:50:34.260Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa6c975da7e0a9c30ec05"},{"id":"qda27a342086d94eb3781","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-01T19:50:47.665Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qda27a342086d94eb3781"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9","speaker":"him***","date":"2025-10-01T19:47:25.886Z","text":"你愿意做就做吧，但我觉得大概率你做不成。","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9"}}