{"id":"q86dbc1a59dfc05e00878","batch_id":"batch-000044","seq":361,"speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-01T19:50:11.149Z","text":"如果你说郭翻案大概率做不成 我是同意的 我觉得就算我大招全部打出去并且上诉 量刑前郭出来的概率也只有50%","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q86dbc1a59dfc05e00878","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000044/pages/2","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000044/pages/2","notice":"这里汇集爆料革命参与者围绕郭文贵案的持续讨论，包括长期深度参与者及自述投入真金白银的投资者。他们分享亲历过程、资金投入与后续遭遇，并结合案卷展开追问、核对和观点交锋。这些来自事件内部的经验与细节，为理解事件经过和投资者处境提供了外部报道之外的重要视角。请结合具体发言判断其经历与依据，引用时保留发言者、时间和上下文。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q86dbc1a59dfc05e00878","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q86dbc1a59dfc05e00878/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q86dbc1a59dfc05e00878","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q9f17137e9604dcc58c83","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-01T19:45:04.508Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9f17137e9604dcc58c83"},{"id":"qc4fa2eed9659bd6d0b85","speaker":"sar***","date":"2025-10-01T19:45:20.075Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc4fa2eed9659bd6d0b85"},{"id":"q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9","speaker":"him***","date":"2025-10-01T19:47:25.886Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9"},{"id":"q788af950f7d87bf41b21","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-01T19:50:31.004Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q788af950f7d87bf41b21"},{"id":"qa6c975da7e0a9c30ec05","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-01T19:50:34.260Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa6c975da7e0a9c30ec05"},{"id":"qda27a342086d94eb3781","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-01T19:50:47.665Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qda27a342086d94eb3781"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9","speaker":"him***","date":"2025-10-01T19:47:25.886Z","text":"你愿意做就做吧，但我觉得大概率你做不成。","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7a86c935e643e3c73fb9"}}