{"id":"q8783283909f76154f3cc","batch_id":"batch-000027","seq":652,"speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-08-15T09:37:06.209Z","text":"有50%的概率被我们直接推翻","edited":false,"reply_to":"qc4b45433198de4dfd844","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8783283909f76154f3cc","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc4b45433198de4dfd844","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000027","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000027","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8783283909f76154f3cc","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8783283909f76154f3cc/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q8783283909f76154f3cc","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q55760166b0b79390d4af","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-08-15T09:16:42.388Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q55760166b0b79390d4af"},{"id":"qc6a99ace0c308e6d0e5f","speaker":"gun***","date":"2025-08-15T09:31:20.328Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc6a99ace0c308e6d0e5f"},{"id":"qc4b45433198de4dfd844","speaker":"gun***","date":"2025-08-15T09:36:48.645Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc4b45433198de4dfd844"},{"id":"qf717f7df01e62b28f4cf","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-08-15T09:37:10.252Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf717f7df01e62b28f4cf"},{"id":"qf5097ee040a56a4637ae","speaker":"gun***","date":"2025-08-15T09:37:55.851Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf5097ee040a56a4637ae"},{"id":"q3865c132005dfed809ed","speaker":"gun***","date":"2025-08-15T09:38:12.247Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3865c132005dfed809ed"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qc4b45433198de4dfd844","speaker":"gun***","date":"2025-08-15T09:36:48.645Z","text":"是不是這一波沒法打了只能上訴？","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc4b45433198de4dfd844"}}