{"id":"q89445efd2eaedb31ae0a","batch_id":"batch-000076","seq":940,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-02-08T08:33:39.777Z","text":"先不说可能性，就算下了特赦，老郭也大概率不会接受","edited":false,"reply_to":"qd4a93e23cbd49a6b2297","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q89445efd2eaedb31ae0a","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd4a93e23cbd49a6b2297","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000076","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000076","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q89445efd2eaedb31ae0a","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q89445efd2eaedb31ae0a/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/q89445efd2eaedb31ae0a","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qae0d975b8fe72399509d","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-02-08T08:25:17.801Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qae0d975b8fe72399509d"},{"id":"q466bb4556b5215e3fa7c","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-02-08T08:25:56.901Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q466bb4556b5215e3fa7c"},{"id":"q80c1e32217edb7a9f59d","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-02-08T08:32:09.853Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q80c1e32217edb7a9f59d"},{"id":"qd6811d27d49764d8164e","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-02-08T08:34:25.686Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd6811d27d49764d8164e"},{"id":"q937cba1eebfc8241d9bb","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-02-08T08:34:43.912Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q937cba1eebfc8241d9bb"},{"id":"qb0a211e8d5833baeadc3","speaker":"xin***","date":"2026-02-08T08:36:22.591Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb0a211e8d5833baeadc3"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qd4a93e23cbd49a6b2297","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-02-08T03:30:35.055Z","text":"逼老郭接受特赦","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd4a93e23cbd49a6b2297"}}