{"id":"qa8ca73f8bf1e28cd927e","batch_id":"batch-000146","seq":355,"speaker":"lon***","date":"2026-08-17T04:12:29.199Z","text":"不好说\n看看老川","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"q7d23b0576c74c93239f8","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa8ca73f8bf1e28cd927e","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7d23b0576c74c93239f8","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000146","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000146","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa8ca73f8bf1e28cd927e","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa8ca73f8bf1e28cd927e/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qa8ca73f8bf1e28cd927e","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q9e27761dfa25fdcf7ece","speaker":"hel***","date":"2026-08-17T04:01:03.709Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9e27761dfa25fdcf7ece"},{"id":"q3fbdbad763153614a1e7","speaker":"chu***","date":"2026-08-17T04:02:58.147Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3fbdbad763153614a1e7"},{"id":"q7d23b0576c74c93239f8","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-17T04:03:55.642Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7d23b0576c74c93239f8"},{"id":"q54e21cb9f6c5f8d92a47","speaker":"lon***","date":"2026-08-17T04:12:50.265Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q54e21cb9f6c5f8d92a47"},{"id":"q3ae397b2d3b4c65316e1","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-17T04:36:40.616Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3ae397b2d3b4c65316e1"},{"id":"q47e097da9b29e00d63e9","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-17T04:36:56.689Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q47e097da9b29e00d63e9"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q7d23b0576c74c93239f8","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-17T04:03:55.642Z","text":"维持原判的概率为0","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7d23b0576c74c93239f8"}}