{"id":"qb1f0e3cb4806559133c4","batch_id":"batch-000045","seq":322,"speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-06T07:17:51.493Z","text":"[删节：成员身份]  我从托雷斯的角度来分析一下 她打算怎么量刑： 托雷斯现在已经遭到了第三方的暴击 她现在只能是被动冷却 等待 看看第三方到底想干什么 到底能折腾到什么地步。 在快接近量刑的明年一月时，她极有可能开听证会 把各方都叫进来，商量。 这个时候 如果我们的mandamus上诉之类的还没走完 托雷斯大概率会拖延量刑。如果我们的骚套路程序都走完 她就要结合辩方律师的情况来看。 如果辩方打出rule33和检察官不当 那么托雷斯很可能量刑5年一下甚至当庭释放 如果辩方装死，那么就要看我们大家以及本人的第三方骚套路终极大招会把托雷斯逼到怎样的境地","edited":true,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb1f0e3cb4806559133c4","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000045","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000045","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb1f0e3cb4806559133c4","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb1f0e3cb4806559133c4/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qb1f0e3cb4806559133c4","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q34d6d53979836047ec11","speaker":"him***","date":"2025-10-06T02:17:32.444Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q34d6d53979836047ec11"},{"id":"q78dbf3bc9dfdd561d37e","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-06T02:17:57.789Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q78dbf3bc9dfdd561d37e"},{"id":"q63bbbfcb2d44e948e5ba","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2025-10-06T05:59:53.570Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q63bbbfcb2d44e948e5ba"},{"id":"q68a28211e44e155743f4","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-06T07:19:12.657Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q68a28211e44e155743f4"},{"id":"q88078ec3b57b01e91540","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-06T07:20:22.507Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q88078ec3b57b01e91540"},{"id":"q0ae5132ad0104fe9a5df","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-06T07:20:54.276Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0ae5132ad0104fe9a5df"}],"parent_message":null}