{"id":"qb3a896aeb8b1cc7fcf21","batch_id":"batch-000034","seq":287,"speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-09-08T13:52:13.034Z","text":"你这个Sabrina早就打过了","edited":false,"reply_to":"q94073b16eed9d2c2926d","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb3a896aeb8b1cc7fcf21","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q94073b16eed9d2c2926d","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000034","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000034","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb3a896aeb8b1cc7fcf21","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb3a896aeb8b1cc7fcf21/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qb3a896aeb8b1cc7fcf21","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qcffc740481e4f3b749fc","speaker":"rim***","date":"2025-09-08T13:50:42.534Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qcffc740481e4f3b749fc"},{"id":"q94073b16eed9d2c2926d","speaker":"goh***","date":"2025-09-08T13:51:43.630Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q94073b16eed9d2c2926d"},{"id":"q80e65d00ac60f1d54879","speaker":"goh***","date":"2025-09-08T13:52:05.388Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q80e65d00ac60f1d54879"},{"id":"q0c313ca73b64590c70b3","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-09-08T13:52:18.410Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0c313ca73b64590c70b3"},{"id":"q1419aa7e534c7c069384","speaker":"goh***","date":"2025-09-08T13:52:28.884Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1419aa7e534c7c069384"},{"id":"qe47f661dff9b7531d6fd","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2025-09-08T13:52:32.785Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe47f661dff9b7531d6fd"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q94073b16eed9d2c2926d","speaker":"goh***","date":"2025-09-08T13:51:43.630Z","text":"“投资人损失源自政府查封”这一点的作用\n优势\n直接切断因果链：\n如果损失不是因为郭的行为，而是因为政府冻结资产 → 那么检方无法证明“郭的行为导致受害人损失”；\n而没有损失，就很难成立 wire fraud/securities fraud 这种以“财产损失”为核心要件的罪名。\n削弱诈骗的本质要素：\n欺诈罪要求“虚假陈述 → 他人信赖 → 造成经济损失”；\n如果损失是“政府行为”而非“被告行为”，那么“因果关系”就断裂。","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q94073b16eed9d2c2926d"}}