{"id":"qbf7c888b00454f0f30af","batch_id":"batch-000023","seq":502,"speaker":"zci***","date":"2025-08-03T11:54:12.226Z","text":"这是常识。每况愈下，大概率路线错了，而不是越来越糟，说明柳暗花明就在前方！你说对不对？我说概率，不是绝对","edited":false,"reply_to":"q36ec1afffb0db1668ae6","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qbf7c888b00454f0f30af","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q36ec1afffb0db1668ae6","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000023","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000023","notice":"清洗后的社区讨论原话，按时间分批归档，固定首次采集版本，不随原作者后续编辑或删除更新，不含附件内容。含不同观点、推测与未经核实的主张，不代表本站结论或法院认定。导读仅供定位，请阅读完整发言及回复上下文，并结合一手文书核验。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qbf7c888b00454f0f30af","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qbf7c888b00454f0f30af/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qbf7c888b00454f0f30af","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q36ec1afffb0db1668ae6","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2025-08-03T11:52:34.203Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q36ec1afffb0db1668ae6"},{"id":"q7bebc7a9bd695a3d120f","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2025-08-03T11:53:42.645Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q7bebc7a9bd695a3d120f"},{"id":"qe7f5ae7170ad387f757c","speaker":"xin***","date":"2025-08-03T11:53:54.932Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe7f5ae7170ad387f757c"},{"id":"q77d62effd09e61ec5100","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2025-08-03T11:54:17.678Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q77d62effd09e61ec5100"},{"id":"qc3bc0c888eceeda7bede","speaker":"xin***","date":"2025-08-03T11:54:21.418Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc3bc0c888eceeda7bede"},{"id":"q8031351e01d936b88747","speaker":"xin***","date":"2025-08-03T11:54:33.550Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8031351e01d936b88747"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q36ec1afffb0db1668ae6","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2025-08-03T11:52:34.203Z","text":"你就是把发财想的太容易，包括灭共，现在郭不在身边了，要面对残酷的现实了，你完全扛不住了","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q36ec1afffb0db1668ae6"}}