{"id":"qc3bc10b27e5a558fea73","batch_id":"batch-000067","seq":82,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-01-05T16:54:20.543Z","text":"如果第三方不介入 上诉的赢面是0","edited":false,"reply_to":"qf8a7ec4011883a806bc6","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc3bc10b27e5a558fea73","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf8a7ec4011883a806bc6","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000067","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000067","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc3bc10b27e5a558fea73","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc3bc10b27e5a558fea73/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qc3bc10b27e5a558fea73","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qe94cfb5d806fd41e4f27","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-01-05T16:31:47.926Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe94cfb5d806fd41e4f27"},{"id":"qf8a7ec4011883a806bc6","speaker":"zha***","date":"2026-01-05T16:53:54.031Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf8a7ec4011883a806bc6"},{"id":"q2e5293752c0e5d03a773","speaker":"zha***","date":"2026-01-05T16:54:19.321Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2e5293752c0e5d03a773"},{"id":"qed5fe44f905bf3df9914","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-01-05T16:54:51.714Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qed5fe44f905bf3df9914"},{"id":"q1ac3c944caab9d323f72","speaker":"zha***","date":"2026-01-05T16:55:28.715Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1ac3c944caab9d323f72"},{"id":"q0105ebdd3c449ca8790c","speaker":"zha***","date":"2026-01-05T16:56:28.708Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0105ebdd3c449ca8790c"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qf8a7ec4011883a806bc6","speaker":"zha***","date":"2026-01-05T16:53:54.031Z","text":"一判决就可以上诉，而且上诉必赢 是吗？\n所以他们早就准备着利用一审环节来延长关押七哥的时间。","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf8a7ec4011883a806bc6"}}