{"id":"qc4b6f50feec93035d84e","batch_id":"batch-000126","seq":252,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-26T03:57:26.224Z","text":"我还是觉得不会判","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"q97a93c7038987a7bbeb9","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc4b6f50feec93035d84e","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q97a93c7038987a7bbeb9","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000126/pages/2","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000126/pages/2","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc4b6f50feec93035d84e","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc4b6f50feec93035d84e/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qc4b6f50feec93035d84e","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q1af95fe335cc265d9c95","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-26T03:49:57.684Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1af95fe335cc265d9c95"},{"id":"q288ae4417729959da2aa","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-26T03:52:54.047Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q288ae4417729959da2aa"},{"id":"q97a93c7038987a7bbeb9","speaker":"reb***","date":"2026-06-26T03:55:32.459Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q97a93c7038987a7bbeb9"},{"id":"q71a8686943a153ee7c70","speaker":"reb***","date":"2026-06-26T04:00:03.259Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q71a8686943a153ee7c70"},{"id":"q87313633d64e3c628c49","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-26T04:00:29.936Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q87313633d64e3c628c49"},{"id":"q2fe9bb508a7b2b4dd955","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-26T04:01:06.848Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2fe9bb508a7b2b4dd955"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q97a93c7038987a7bbeb9","speaker":"reb***","date":"2026-06-26T03:55:32.459Z","text":"正常情况下，法院这边不可能沉寂两个月后突然量刑，律师也有可能本来是去解围的，但托雷斯不这样认为。肯定是有一些算计。","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q97a93c7038987a7bbeb9"}}