{"id":"qc9482358ccc964ceb205","batch_id":"batch-000064","seq":959,"speaker":"beg***","date":"2025-12-20T05:43:55.300Z","text":"黑天鹅事件随时发生","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"q34f94c96262186a91faf","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc9482358ccc964ceb205","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q34f94c96262186a91faf","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000064/pages/5","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000064/pages/5","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc9482358ccc964ceb205","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc9482358ccc964ceb205/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qc9482358ccc964ceb205","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q34f94c96262186a91faf","speaker":"chu***","date":"2025-12-20T05:24:12.570Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q34f94c96262186a91faf"},{"id":"qe4a094a4f7bb4feb1e66","speaker":"beg***","date":"2025-12-20T05:41:22.084Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe4a094a4f7bb4feb1e66"},{"id":"qfee30feffd129ec22c6c","speaker":"beg***","date":"2025-12-20T05:42:55.753Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfee30feffd129ec22c6c"},{"id":"qd8e77c4c38d900836e60","speaker":"beg***","date":"2025-12-20T05:46:09.551Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd8e77c4c38d900836e60"},{"id":"q8e5f620b15ba7b2ffe54","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-12-20T05:50:49.519Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8e5f620b15ba7b2ffe54"},{"id":"qbd2d4d2e040dbb39a7d2","speaker":"beg***","date":"2025-12-20T06:05:34.009Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qbd2d4d2e040dbb39a7d2"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q34f94c96262186a91faf","speaker":"chu***","date":"2025-12-20T05:24:12.570Z","text":"看了老蛮同志的理论，不是很乐观。意思就是，中国经济即使死透了，死一半人，这种社会模式仍然可以运转","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q34f94c96262186a91faf"}}