{"id":"qd2ea40b43e0195eb8a5c","batch_id":"batch-000132","seq":517,"speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-07-06T20:18:09.669Z","text":"我认为目前的情况更可能是：\n•  托雷斯在单方面灭火：她自己意识到隐私问题和程序问题可能被二巡抓住把柄，所以在判刑后开始做一些补救动作。\n•  二巡在观察和筛选：他们没有急着全部驳回，而是把案件分成了tandem group，继续接收新材料（Tony、Jason Zen、Anna等人还在继续提交）。这说明二巡至少还没有决定“全部驳回”。\n•  二巡不会完全配合把所有问题抹掉：因为如果他们真的想配合托雷斯，他们可以更早驳回，而不是让这些案件拖到现在。拖得越久，记录就越完整，对第三方越有利。","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd2ea40b43e0195eb8a5c","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000132","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000132","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd2ea40b43e0195eb8a5c","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd2ea40b43e0195eb8a5c/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qd2ea40b43e0195eb8a5c","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q9ec82589d3a99cdbafc1","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-07-06T20:17:21.785Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9ec82589d3a99cdbafc1"},{"id":"qd6e9cecb78147338fa75","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-07-06T20:17:38.294Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd6e9cecb78147338fa75"},{"id":"q28756c2ff5cb74c1e3b6","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-07-06T20:17:43.796Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q28756c2ff5cb74c1e3b6"},{"id":"q397f0b3130cc6107eaac","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-07-06T20:18:49.802Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q397f0b3130cc6107eaac"},{"id":"qd38894721bfabafb46cb","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-07-06T20:19:05.758Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd38894721bfabafb46cb"},{"id":"q293a66a175b9474fa449","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-07-06T20:19:22.440Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q293a66a175b9474fa449"}],"parent_message":null}