{"id":"qd7768437155600306954","batch_id":"batch-000095","seq":605,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-03-28T13:19:16.759Z","text":"我认为现在的情况看来 有70%","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"qe8d52b745e0cc8d64e0e","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd7768437155600306954","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe8d52b745e0cc8d64e0e","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000095/pages/4","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000095/pages/4","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd7768437155600306954","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd7768437155600306954/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qd7768437155600306954","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qef3b3bbbd950d8bad96d","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-03-28T13:18:42.718Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qef3b3bbbd950d8bad96d"},{"id":"qe8d52b745e0cc8d64e0e","speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-03-28T13:19:00.325Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe8d52b745e0cc8d64e0e"},{"id":"q42cf38af25d2d7685944","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-03-28T13:19:03.693Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q42cf38af25d2d7685944"},{"id":"q4223482c8e8eb55f6dbd","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-03-28T13:19:29.987Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4223482c8e8eb55f6dbd"},{"id":"qd96572f2bdec92ccb647","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-03-28T13:19:42.912Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd96572f2bdec92ccb647"},{"id":"q48ffad5778b217e3f182","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-03-28T13:19:58.750Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q48ffad5778b217e3f182"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qe8d52b745e0cc8d64e0e","speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-03-28T13:19:00.325Z","text":"郭被农场绑架 - 这点我认为小于30% 的可能","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe8d52b745e0cc8d64e0e"}}