{"id":"qd7797710d360118a5de0","batch_id":"batch-000068","seq":611,"speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-01-10T13:02:25.549Z","text":"谁去告诉瑞恩一声，又可以给二巡动议了","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"q104bf2703cf7e5b0164a","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd7797710d360118a5de0","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q104bf2703cf7e5b0164a","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000068/pages/4","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000068/pages/4","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd7797710d360118a5de0","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd7797710d360118a5de0/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qd7797710d360118a5de0","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qeafe46469157317b2363","speaker":"ntp***","date":"2026-01-10T12:53:35.814Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qeafe46469157317b2363"},{"id":"q6349057e9b8fac4bde58","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T13:01:08.977Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6349057e9b8fac4bde58"},{"id":"qbddc5d1cbc13ae00266f","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T13:01:54.080Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qbddc5d1cbc13ae00266f"},{"id":"qdcbc648e6a5cbb6167b0","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T13:02:50.325Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdcbc648e6a5cbb6167b0"},{"id":"qc19267fc9e75681d3567","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T13:03:30.764Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc19267fc9e75681d3567"},{"id":"q5abc56568e225ba17613","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T13:03:51.472Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q5abc56568e225ba17613"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q104bf2703cf7e5b0164a","speaker":"roy***","date":"2026-01-10T03:58:51.364Z","text":"1）对白冉月 mandamus（25-2726）— 直接增强\n\n白冉月的 mandamus 主张：\n\n✔ CVRA 被系统性忽视\n✔ 南区未履行受害人义务\n✔ 未入卷第三方材料\n✔ 未处理受害人利益\n✔ 未保护隐私\n✔ 未提供程序参与路径\n\n785 等于做了一件极罕见的事情：\n\nDOJ 主动告诉法院：CVRA/MVRA 无法执行\n\n这叫 司法自白 + 行政自白\n\n对应白冉月 mandamus 的要件：\n\n✔ 系统性失败 → 已证实\n✔ 法律义务中断 → 已证实\n✔ 受害人排除 → 已证实\n✔ 程序缺失 → 已证实\n✔ 无救济路径 → DOJ自认\n✔ 需上级法院介入 → 她正在做\n\n完全匹配 Mandamus 的 Cheney 三要素：\n\n(1) Clear right → CVRA statutory right\n(2) Duty to act → Statutory mandatory\n(3) No other remedy → DOJ自己承认无其他机制\n\n因此：\n\n👉 白冉月的 mandamus 更强\n👉 二巡拒绝的门槛更高\n👉 如果拒绝也更容易进最高法院（Cert-worthy）","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q104bf2703cf7e5b0164a"}}