{"id":"qd8edaca1fd7afa06690f","batch_id":"batch-000143","seq":230,"speaker":"spr***","date":"2026-08-07T01:57:49.568Z","text":"我当然希望你估计的对，但是也要看清楚二巡的逻辑，看他们对郭上诉保释的回复就知道，事情没那么容易","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"qd9ff976d20858c8e9f43","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd8edaca1fd7afa06690f","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd9ff976d20858c8e9f43","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000143/pages/2","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000143/pages/2","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd8edaca1fd7afa06690f","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd8edaca1fd7afa06690f/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qd8edaca1fd7afa06690f","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q9fdbebb0a2fdf98c42b5","speaker":"spr***","date":"2026-08-07T01:55:45.483Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9fdbebb0a2fdf98c42b5"},{"id":"q88b5d770e40f87b64fd8","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-07T01:56:11.882Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q88b5d770e40f87b64fd8"},{"id":"qa41909739008071e9e03","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-08-07T01:56:55.906Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa41909739008071e9e03"},{"id":"qa76afbf0c95cacdbf49c","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-08-07T01:58:17.396Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa76afbf0c95cacdbf49c"},{"id":"q2872ffb2299bc243012e","speaker":"mia***","date":"2026-08-07T02:01:12.642Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q2872ffb2299bc243012e"},{"id":"qd08d3438cd3df08a4f3c","speaker":"reb***","date":"2026-08-07T02:17:19.522Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd08d3438cd3df08a4f3c"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qd9ff976d20858c8e9f43","speaker":"beg***","date":"2026-08-07T01:53:12.355Z","text":"第三方没参与之前 检方要啥得啥。托雷100%满足检方。\n\n现在的情况有变化了。","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd9ff976d20858c8e9f43"}}