{"id":"qdb0c63e0566be1aa4709","batch_id":"batch-000126","seq":205,"speaker":"him***","date":"2026-06-26T02:55:23.499Z","text":"现在要关注的两件事：1. 二巡会不会暂停量刑 2.南区判多少年","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"qb74db60c1921a720ea28","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdb0c63e0566be1aa4709","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb74db60c1921a720ea28","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000126/pages/2","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000126/pages/2","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdb0c63e0566be1aa4709","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdb0c63e0566be1aa4709/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qdb0c63e0566be1aa4709","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qfef46abb484725a05136","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-26T02:45:30.840Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfef46abb484725a05136"},{"id":"q522e07c1f175a46c1ad3","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-26T02:45:42.218Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q522e07c1f175a46c1ad3"},{"id":"q71ca97cfeae73b1222d1","speaker":"may***","date":"2026-06-26T02:45:56.701Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q71ca97cfeae73b1222d1"},{"id":"q4f96a85cbf50c25f7fbd","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-06-26T02:56:16.044Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4f96a85cbf50c25f7fbd"},{"id":"qcc136d20b1d2d9194e55","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-06-26T02:56:51.089Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qcc136d20b1d2d9194e55"},{"id":"q18eb635956afc5533a46","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-06-26T02:57:22.129Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q18eb635956afc5533a46"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qb74db60c1921a720ea28","speaker":"reb***","date":"2026-06-26T02:12:15.178Z","text":"第一优先（24小时内）：\n确认法院发出的是什么命令——\n是最终没收令还是金钱判决还是两者都有\n这决定了后续所有时间线\n\n第二优先（14天窗口）：\n如果发出了最终没收令，\n14天内必须提出上诉通知\n这是硬截止日期，不可延误\n\n第三优先（同步进行）：\n向二巡提交紧急申请\n主张§853(n)程序被非法跳过\n申请执行暂缓令阻止没收令执行\n\n第四优先（30天内）：\n如果只是金钱判决，\n继续推动§853(n)程序\n阻止其被宣布moot","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb74db60c1921a720ea28"}}