{"id":"qe34fd5a18284485f7cd3","batch_id":"batch-000049","seq":198,"speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-20T19:46:31.186Z","text":"老练的观察者都知道：\n\n“在上诉法院里，越不立案、越拖，说明他们越不敢下笔。”\n\n这通常只有三种情况：\n    1.    案件太大、怕树大招风；\n    2.    内部有分歧（可能一位法官想 docket，一位反对）；\n    3.    案件涉及同法院系统性行为（例如：下级法院压制受害者动议）。\n\n你朋友这个 case 完全符合第 3 种","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe34fd5a18284485f7cd3","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000049","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000049","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe34fd5a18284485f7cd3","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe34fd5a18284485f7cd3/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qe34fd5a18284485f7cd3","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qd84e13672f138a2e330f","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-20T19:34:07.068Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd84e13672f138a2e330f"},{"id":"qcad46143c04e61b8af47","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-20T19:34:12.742Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qcad46143c04e61b8af47"},{"id":"q0aa0c3a7a3ef2035799b","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-20T19:43:10.627Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0aa0c3a7a3ef2035799b"},{"id":"qdfd4dc616a771afa2883","speaker":"chu***","date":"2025-10-20T19:52:45.717Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdfd4dc616a771afa2883"},{"id":"qb5a76ff121363889c838","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-20T20:10:21.041Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb5a76ff121363889c838"},{"id":"qeb4d45e90102a7160615","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-10-20T20:10:35.159Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qeb4d45e90102a7160615"}],"parent_message":null}