{"id":"qe5fa37c08d71dc6790fb","batch_id":"batch-000130","seq":894,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-07-02T21:26:15.815Z","text":"可能性为0%","edited":false,"reply_to":"qef21c12818a7d838b072","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe5fa37c08d71dc6790fb","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qef21c12818a7d838b072","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000130","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000130","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe5fa37c08d71dc6790fb","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe5fa37c08d71dc6790fb/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qe5fa37c08d71dc6790fb","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q01dd45b8174eaff73cab","speaker":"hel***","date":"2026-07-02T21:09:01.361Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q01dd45b8174eaff73cab"},{"id":"qef21c12818a7d838b072","speaker":"lon***","date":"2026-07-02T21:22:22.866Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qef21c12818a7d838b072"},{"id":"q87cf0362794540aa6d8e","speaker":"lon***","date":"2026-07-02T21:22:49.566Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q87cf0362794540aa6d8e"},{"id":"qcf3ac40560e098750d83","speaker":"zha***","date":"2026-07-02T21:26:30.535Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qcf3ac40560e098750d83"},{"id":"qb413d8a150a0557a10d9","speaker":"nev***","date":"2026-07-02T21:27:37.273Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qb413d8a150a0557a10d9"},{"id":"q42363c63989100c1566e","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-07-02T21:27:48.870Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q42363c63989100c1566e"}],"parent_message":{"id":"qef21c12818a7d838b072","speaker":"lon***","date":"2026-07-02T21:22:22.866Z","text":"二巡有没有可能像现在这样判","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qef21c12818a7d838b072"}}