{"id":"qef743e3b18eaf98afe3e","batch_id":"batch-000124","seq":95,"speaker":"cin***","date":"2026-06-22T07:12:55.688Z","text":"因为当你抛开常识去考虑一个很小的可能性 概率就变得很低","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qef743e3b18eaf98afe3e","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000124","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000124","notice":"这里汇集爆料革命参与者围绕郭文贵案的持续讨论，包括长期深度参与者及自述投入真金白银的投资者。他们分享亲历过程、资金投入与后续遭遇，并结合案卷展开追问、核对和观点交锋。这些来自事件内部的经验与细节，为理解事件经过和投资者处境提供了外部报道之外的重要视角。请结合具体发言判断其经历与依据，引用时保留发言者、时间和上下文。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qef743e3b18eaf98afe3e","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qef743e3b18eaf98afe3e/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qef743e3b18eaf98afe3e","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"qbc4d386423dd1fa1388a","speaker":"cin***","date":"2026-06-22T07:11:25.985Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qbc4d386423dd1fa1388a"},{"id":"qe819253feb127f0c1bde","speaker":"cin***","date":"2026-06-22T07:11:43.642Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe819253feb127f0c1bde"},{"id":"q37a0986d5291b5083048","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-06-22T07:12:14.782Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q37a0986d5291b5083048"},{"id":"q9d3d473b028e4675e2b6","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-06-22T07:13:05.303Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q9d3d473b028e4675e2b6"},{"id":"q327f5583d83c19c9fbd9","speaker":"cin***","date":"2026-06-22T07:13:07.731Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q327f5583d83c19c9fbd9"},{"id":"q312e7cbf523daae04291","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-06-22T07:13:13.085Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q312e7cbf523daae04291"}],"parent_message":null}