{"id":"qf48536d2246dfe12a250","batch_id":"batch-000108","seq":88,"speaker":"him***","date":"2026-05-02T14:06:15.147Z","text":"我猜测，这个案子现在这个样子，70%是因为联盟操作，20%中共直接操作, 10%美国政府","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf48536d2246dfe12a250","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000108","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000108","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf48536d2246dfe12a250","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf48536d2246dfe12a250/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qf48536d2246dfe12a250","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q3162062b0b830cef7745","speaker":"him***","date":"2026-05-02T14:00:19.075Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3162062b0b830cef7745"},{"id":"q08a07e01ce34064314cd","speaker":"reb***","date":"2026-05-02T14:00:55.143Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q08a07e01ce34064314cd"},{"id":"q75e468043506223d4330","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-05-02T14:03:01.184Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q75e468043506223d4330"},{"id":"q8c31dd1f53fcf1a794d1","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-05-02T14:08:46.778Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q8c31dd1f53fcf1a794d1"},{"id":"qe777278fc1137e37f92a","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-05-02T14:09:15.092Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe777278fc1137e37f92a"},{"id":"q63b4aaba93af14238b59","speaker":"spr***","date":"2026-05-02T14:11:20.529Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q63b4aaba93af14238b59"}],"parent_message":null}