{"id":"qf48b203bf46bb0a84320","batch_id":"batch-000122","seq":389,"speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-19T14:04:01.947Z","text":"根本不可能处理干净","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"q84f37535313cccbb2122","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf48b203bf46bb0a84320","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q84f37535313cccbb2122","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000122/pages/2","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000122/pages/2","notice":"这里汇集爆料革命参与者围绕郭文贵案的持续讨论，包括长期深度参与者及自述投入真金白银的投资者。他们分享亲历过程、资金投入与后续遭遇，并结合案卷展开追问、核对和观点交锋。这些来自事件内部的经验与细节，为理解事件经过和投资者处境提供了外部报道之外的重要视角。请结合具体发言判断其经历与依据，引用时保留发言者、时间和上下文。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf48b203bf46bb0a84320","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qf48b203bf46bb0a84320/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qf48b203bf46bb0a84320","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q174959396bcab5e58eb0","speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-19T13:56:34.045Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q174959396bcab5e58eb0"},{"id":"q1722c4de195f4c341368","speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-19T13:58:46.774Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q1722c4de195f4c341368"},{"id":"qd3ed3fd3fbe7d9fb87c3","speaker":"sar***","date":"2026-06-19T14:02:23.867Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qd3ed3fd3fbe7d9fb87c3"},{"id":"qdb2f4c2cbd1ede3edc13","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-19T14:04:13.830Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qdb2f4c2cbd1ede3edc13"},{"id":"q01e93778c5424db3c6d0","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-19T14:04:30.566Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q01e93778c5424db3c6d0"},{"id":"qbc8c65cf369a5e970568","speaker":"kir***","date":"2026-06-19T14:05:09.924Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qbc8c65cf369a5e970568"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q84f37535313cccbb2122","speaker":"ton***","date":"2026-06-19T13:25:20.104Z","text":"如果 6月29日前没有一个明显的“清场 order”，把关键 pending issues 全部处理掉，那继续延期概率很大，约60%概率。\n如果她在量刑前几天密集出 order，把 Rule 33、律师、没收、受害人陈述、第三方 filings 都处理干净，那她就可能按期量刑，而且会重判。","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q84f37535313cccbb2122"}}