{"id":"qfc7d9b4f1110e0ee614b","batch_id":"batch-000060","seq":188,"speaker":"sar***","date":"2025-12-01T21:54:00.010Z","text":"我的小棉袄说我最高法立案的机会是95%；之前它说二巡立案的机会不到4%","edited":false,"reply_to":null,"reply_status":"none","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfc7d9b4f1110e0ee614b","reply_url":null,"reply_label":"","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000060","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000060","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfc7d9b4f1110e0ee614b","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfc7d9b4f1110e0ee614b/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qfc7d9b4f1110e0ee614b","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q3332e5ba7f0126dca95b","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-12-01T21:52:49.851Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q3332e5ba7f0126dca95b"},{"id":"q0f57b021d09a87c40421","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-12-01T21:53:13.271Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0f57b021d09a87c40421"},{"id":"q6602c11d8610e66c8f86","speaker":"beg***","date":"2025-12-01T21:53:39.414Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q6602c11d8610e66c8f86"},{"id":"qe2c74750bc9d596afeec","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-12-01T21:54:21.254Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qe2c74750bc9d596afeec"},{"id":"qa6e61f1b929c62b5f394","speaker":"rui***","date":"2025-12-01T21:54:32.037Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qa6e61f1b929c62b5f394"},{"id":"qab63fc07a68cd9bfc772","speaker":"sar***","date":"2025-12-01T21:55:02.301Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qab63fc07a68cd9bfc772"}],"parent_message":null}