{"id":"qfd3c0de3ef1bde14c4c5","batch_id":"batch-000123","seq":895,"speaker":"joh***","date":"2026-06-21T10:44:58.617Z","text":"不翻 但是上诉起来，南区会死很惨，怕会被掀个底朝天","text_en":null,"edited":false,"reply_to":"q0430162e9d8bbbcca3ad","reply_status":"available","has_attachment":false,"url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfd3c0de3ef1bde14c4c5","reply_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0430162e9d8bbbcca3ad","reply_label":"查看被回复的发言（跨批次）","batch_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000123","batch_canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/batches/batch-000123","notice":"围绕郭文贵案的社区讨论与观点交锋。发言仅代表讨论者观点，不等同于法院认定。","content_type":"discussion_message","canonical_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfd3c0de3ef1bde14c4c5","markdown_url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qfd3c0de3ef1bde14c4c5/markdown","json_url":"https://mubeitech.com/api/discussion-messages/qfd3c0de3ef1bde14c4c5","surrounding_messages":[{"id":"q4fe6dbb16debd1a28940","speaker":"cin***","date":"2026-06-21T10:39:10.961Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4fe6dbb16debd1a28940"},{"id":"q0430162e9d8bbbcca3ad","speaker":"cin***","date":"2026-06-21T10:41:00.778Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0430162e9d8bbbcca3ad"},{"id":"q4a96d7c3f34a761c4113","speaker":"chu***","date":"2026-06-21T10:42:02.848Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q4a96d7c3f34a761c4113"},{"id":"qc5cc8425f2c2892ff5b6","speaker":"ton***","date":"2026-06-21T10:47:30.904Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/qc5cc8425f2c2892ff5b6"},{"id":"q16988b137d65dbabdb20","speaker":"zha***","date":"2026-06-21T10:49:32.883Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q16988b137d65dbabdb20"},{"id":"q0dff22719324c7d5b92b","speaker":"zha***","date":"2026-06-21T10:50:58.893Z","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0dff22719324c7d5b92b"}],"parent_message":{"id":"q0430162e9d8bbbcca3ad","speaker":"cin***","date":"2026-06-21T10:41:00.778Z","text":"但是这种大规模诈骗类刑事案 翻无罪概率基本没  最多调整刑期","url":"https://mubeitech.com/discussions/messages/q0430162e9d8bbbcca3ad"}}